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This paper investigates the effect of the structure of the contact network on the dynamics of the epidemic outbreak. In particular, we focus on the peak number of critically infected nodes (PCIN), determining the maximum workload of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-03-01 Yulian Kuryliak , Michael Emmerich , Dmytro Dosyn

In this paper we consider a simple two-patch model in which a population affected by a disease can freely move. We assume that the capacity of the interconnected paths is limited, and thereby influencing the migration rates. Possible…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-03-19 Silvia Motto , Ezio Venturino

Knowing which individuals can be more efficient in spreading a pathogen throughout a determinate environment is a fundamental question in disease control. Indeed, over the last years the spread of epidemic diseases and its relationship with…

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard

Over the years numerous models of SIS (susceptible - infected - susceptible) disease dynamics unfolding on networks have been proposed. Here, we discuss the links between many of these models and how they can be viewed as more general…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-04-10 Timothy J Taylor , Istvan Z Kiss

The study of how diseases spread has greatly benefited from advances in network modeling. Recently, a class of networks known as multilayer graphs has been shown to describe more accurately many real systems, making it possible to address…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-04-16 Xiangrong Wang , Alberto Aleta , Dan Lu , Yamir Moreno

Many models of virus propagation in Computer Networks inspired by {\bf SIS,SIR,}\\ {\bf SEIR}, etc. epidemic disease propagation mathematical models that can be found in the epidemiology field have been proposed in the last two decades. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-01-05 Carlos Rodriguez Lucatero

We develop an analytical approach to the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model that allows us to unravel the true origin of the absence of an epidemic threshold in heterogeneous networks. We find that a delicate balance…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-13 Marian Boguna , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

The interplay between disease spreading and personal risk perception is of key importance for modelling the spread of infectious diseases. We propose a planar system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to describe the co-evolution of…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-09 Massimo A. Achterberg , Mattia Sensi

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

In this paper, we investigate a parabolic-ODE SIS epidemic model with no-flux boundary conditions in a heterogeneous environment. The model incorporates a saturated infection mechanism \({SI}/(m(x) + S + I)\) with \(m \geq,\,\not\equiv 0\).…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-03-28 Rui Peng , Rachidi Salako , Yixiang Wu

Infection spread among individuals is modelled with a continuous time Markov chain, in which subject interactions depend on their distance in space. The well known SIR model and non local variants of the latter are then obtained as large…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-27 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Grotto , Andrea Papini , Cristiano Ricci

A hybrid network--deterministic model for simulation of multiresistant pathogen spread in a healthcare system is presented. The model accounts for two paths of pathogen transmission between the healthcare facilities: inter-hospital patient…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-27 M. J. Piotrowska , K. Sakowski , A. Karch , H. Tahir , J. Horn , M. E. Kretzschmar , R. T. Mikolajczyk

In this paper, we show how a dynamic population game can model the strategic interaction and migration decisions made by a large population of agents in response to epidemic prevalence. Specifically, we consider a modified…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-04 Ezzat Elokda , Saverio Bolognani , Ashish R. Hota

Empirical studies suggest that contact patterns follow heterogeneous inter-event times, meaning that intervals of high activity are followed by periods of inactivity. Combined with birth and death of individuals, these temporal constraints…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Vincent D. Blondel

Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

While most existing epidemic models focus on the influence of isolated factors, infectious disease transmission is inherently shaped by the complex interplay of multiple interacting elements. To better capture real-world dynamics, it is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-04-18 Guangyuan Mei , Yao Cai , Su-Su Zhang , Ying Huang , Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homogeneous mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the conditions for spatial invasion through a general theoretical framework. To address…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-01-21 Andrea Apolloni , Chiara Poletto , Jose' J. Ramasco , Pablo Jensen , Vittoria Colizza

In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modeling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role…