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Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

We introduce an ambidextrous view of stochastic dynamical systems, comparing their forward-time and reverse-time representations and then integrating them into a single time-symmetric representation. The perspective is useful theoretically,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , James P. Crutchfield

Ecological resilience refers to the ability of a system to retain its state when subject to state variables perturbations or parameter changes. While understanding and quantifying resilience is crucial to anticipate the possible regime…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-05-10 Artur César Fassoni , Denis de Carvalho Braga

We extend the notion of estimation entropy of autonomous dynamical systems proposed by Liberzon and Mitra [1] to nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertain inputs with bounded variation. We call this new notion the {$\epsilon$}-estimation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-14 Hussein Sibai , Sayan Mitra

We solve the escape problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact expressions for the survival probability (which ammounts to solving the complete escape problem) as well as for the mean exit time. We also average the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-22 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

A survival model is derived from the exponential function using the concept of fractional differentiation. The hazard function of the proposed model generates various shapes of curves including increasing, increasing-constant-increasing,…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Cheng K. Lee , Jenq-Daw Lee

A system is considered, which is subject to external and possibly fatal shocks, with dependence between the fatality of a shock and the system age. Apart from these shocks, the system suffers from competing soft and sudden failures, where…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-03 Sophie Mercier , H. H. Pham

Survival models capture the relationship between an accumulating hazard and the occurrence of a singular event stimulated by that accumulation. When the model for the hazard is sufficiently flexible survival models can accommodate a wide…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-04 Michael Betancourt

Boolean network models of strongly connected modules are capable of capturing the high regulatory complexity of many biological gene regulatory circuits. We study numerically the previously introduced basin entropy, a parameter for the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-13 P. Krawitz , I. Shmulevich

Entropies are fundamental measures of uncertainty with central importance in information theory and statistics and applications across all the quantitative sciences. Under a natural set of operational axioms, the most general form of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Roberto Rubboli , Erkka Haapasalo , Marco Tomamichel

The method of Maximum (relative) Entropy (ME) is used to translate the information contained in the known form of the likelihood into a prior distribution for Bayesian inference. The argument is guided by intuition gained from the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

Mixture distributions are extensively used as a modeling tool in diverse areas from machine learning to communications engineering to physics, and obtaining bounds on the entropy of probability distributions is of fundamental importance in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-12-05 James Melbourne , Saurav Talukdar , Shreyas Bhaban , Mokshay Madiman , Murti V. Salapaka

The time until the failure of some node of the system or until the end of some stage of the operation of the tribological system is associated with the change in entropy in the system that occurs during this time. Methods of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-08-23 V. V. Ryazanov

Aging is a universal consequence of life, yet researchers have identified no universal theme. This manuscript considers aging from the perspective of entropy, wherein things fall apart. We first examine biological information change as a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-13 Stephan Baehr , Hans Baehr

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

Survivorship analysis allows to statistically analyze situations that can be modeled as waiting times to an event. These waiting times are characterized by the cumulative hazard rate, which can be estimated by the Nelson-Aalen estimator or…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-04 Niklas Hohmann

We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

Entropy measures have become increasingly popular as an evaluation metric for complexity in the analysis of time series data, especially in physiology and medicine. Entropy measures the rate of information gain, or degree of regularity in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-03 Chee Chun Gan , Gerard Learmonth

An overview is given of recent advances in nonequilibrium statistical mechanics about the statistics of random paths and current fluctuations. Although statistics is carried out in space for equilibrium statistical mechanics, statistics is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-12 Pierre Gaspard

Stochastic chains represent a wide and key variety of phenomena in many branches of science within the context of Information Theory and Thermodynamics. They are typically approached by a sequence of independent events or by a memoryless…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-06 J. Ricardo Arias-Gonzalez