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To backpropagate the gradients through stochastic binary layers, we propose the augment-REINFORCE-merge (ARM) estimator that is unbiased, exhibits low variance, and has low computational complexity. Exploiting variable augmentation,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-11 Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou

Accurately reconstructing and forecasting ocean fields from sparse observations is critical for both operational and scientific purposes. Optimizing sensor placement to maximize reconstruction skill remains challenging due to evolving ocean…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-27 Oscar Chapron , Ronan Fablet , Yann Stéphan

Switching dynamical systems can model complicated time series data while maintaining interpretability by inferring a finite set of dynamics primitives and explaining different portions of the observed time series with one of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Yiliu Wang , Timothy Doyeon Kim , Eric Shea-Brown , Uygar Sümbül

Multivariate generalized Gamma convolutions are distributions defined by a convolutional semi-parametric structure. Their flexible dependence structures, the marginal possibilities and their useful convolutional expression make them…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-28 Oskar Laverny

We propose using model reparametrization to improve variational Bayes inference for hierarchical models whose variables can be classified as global (shared across observations) or local (observation specific). Posterior dependence between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-28 Linda S. L. Tan

We present practical Levenberg-Marquardt variants of Gauss-Newton and natural gradient methods for solving non-convex optimization problems that arise in training deep neural networks involving enormous numbers of variables and huge data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-07 Yi Ren , Donald Goldfarb

We propose a simple and general variant of the standard reparameterized gradient estimator for the variational evidence lower bound. Specifically, we remove a part of the total derivative with respect to the variational parameters that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Geoffrey Roeder , Yuhuai Wu , David Duvenaud

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Distributed systems have been widely used in practice to accomplish data analysis tasks of huge scales. In this work, we target on the estimation problem of generalized linear models on a distributed system with nonrandomly distributed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-07 Feifei Wang , Danyang Huang , Yingqiu Zhu , Hansheng Wang

In this article, we derive Stein's method for approximating a spatial random graph by a generalised random geometric graph, which has vertices given by a finite Gibbs point process and edges based on a general connection function. Our main…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-06 Dominic Schuhmacher , Leoni Carla Wirth

Stochastic-gradient sampling methods are often used to perform Bayesian inference on neural networks. It has been observed that the methods in which notions of differential geometry are included tend to have better performances, with the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Arto Klami

We focus on the problem of estimating the change in the dependency structures of two $p$-dimensional Gaussian Graphical models (GGMs). Previous studies for sparse change estimation in GGMs involve expensive and difficult non-smooth…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-24 Beilun Wang , Arshdeep Sekhon , Yanjun Qi

We propose a new finite sample corrected variance estimator for the linear generalized method of moments (GMM) including the one-step, two-step, and iterated estimators. Our formula additionally corrects for the over-identification bias in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-03 Jungbin Hwang , Byunghoon Kang , Seojeong Lee

In Bayesian Deep Learning, distributions over the output of classification neural networks are often approximated by first constructing a Gaussian distribution over the weights, then sampling from it to receive a distribution over the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-01 Marius Hobbhahn , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig

Assessing the significance of alignment scores of optimally aligned DNA or amino acid sequences can be achieved via the knowledge of the score distribution of random sequences. But this requires obtaining the distribution in the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-08-24 Pascal Fieth , Alexander K. Hartmann

Gradient-based optimization methods are commonly used to identify local optima in high-dimensional spaces. When derivatives cannot be evaluated directly, stochastic estimators can provide approximate gradients. However, these estimators'…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Philipp Andelfinger , Wentong Cai

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-06 Jonathan R. Stewart , Michael Schweinberger

In this paper we are concerned with a sequence of univariate random variables with piecewise polynomial means and independent sub-Gaussian noise. The underlying polynomials are allowed to be of arbitrary but fixed degrees. All the other…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-03 Yi Yu , Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Haotian Xu

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Inference in discrete graphical models with variational methods is difficult because of the inability to re-parameterize gradients of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO). Many sampling-based methods have been proposed for estimating these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-23 Andy Shih , Stefano Ermon