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Modern-day civil, mechanical, and aeronautical structures are transitioning towards a continuous, online, and automated maintenance paradigm in order to ensure increased safety and reliability. The field of structural health monitoring…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-14 Shabbir Ahmed , Fotis Kopsaftopoulos

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

For many machine learning algorithms, two main assumptions are required to guarantee performance. One is that the test data are drawn from the same distribution as the training data, and the other is that the model is correctly specified.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-03 Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Peng Cui , Susan Athey , Bo Li

The problem of estimating an unknown deterministic parameter vector from sign measurements with a perturbed sensing matrix is studied in this paper. We analyze the best achievable mean square error (MSE) performance by exploring the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-18 Jiang Zhu , Xiaohan Wang , Yuantao Gu

For normal canonical models, and more generally a vast array of general spherically symmetric location-scale models with a residual vector, we consider estimating the (univariate) location parameter when it is lower bounded. We provide…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-24 Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Eric Marchand , William Strawderman

In many practical situations we would like to estimate the covariance matrix of a set of variables from an insufficient amount of data. More specifically, if we have a set of $N$ independent, identically distributed measurements of an $M$…

概率论 · 数学 2010-10-05 Thomas L. Marzetta , Gabriel H. Tucci , Steven H. Simon

In unconstrained maximum a posteriori (MAP) and maximum likelihood estimation, the inverse of minus the merit-function Hessian matrix is an approximation of the estimate covariance matrix. In the Bayesian context of MAP estimation, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-17 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

We are deriving optimal rank-based tests for the adequacy of a vector autoregressive-moving average (VARMA) model with elliptically contoured innovation density. These tests are based on the ranks of pseudo-Mahalanobis distances and on…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marc Hallin , Davy Paindaveine

We show that, for a certain class of scaling matrices including the commonly used inverse square-root of the conditional Fisher Information, score-driven factor models are identifiable up to a multiplicative scalar constant under very mild…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-03 Giuseppe Buccheri , Fulvio Corsi , Emilija Dzuverovic

We introduce a new approach for prudent risk evaluation based on stochastic dominance, which will be called the model aggregation (MA) approach. In contrast to the classic worst-case risk (WR) approach, the MA approach produces not only a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-06-11 Tiantian Mao , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

VARs are often estimated with Bayesian techniques to cope with model dimensionality. The posterior means define a class of shrinkage estimators, indexed by hyperparameters that determine the relative weight on maximum likelihood estimates…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-07 Oriol González-Casasús , Frank Schorfheide

This paper develops a Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling (HBM) framework for uncertainty quantification of Finite Element (FE) models based on modal information. This framework uses an existing Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) approach to identify…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

It is well known in many settings that reversible Langevin diffusions in confining potentials converge to equilibrium exponentially fast. Adding irreversible perturbations to the drift of a Langevin diffusion that maintain the same…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-02 Michela Ottobre , Natesh S. Pillai , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider two-state Non-Homogeneous Hidden Markov Models (NHHMMs) for forecasting univariate time series. Given a set of predictors, the time series are modeled via predictive regressions with state dependent coefficients and time-varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-31 Constandina Koki , Loukia Meligkotsidou , Ioannis Vrontos

Inference for models with recursively defined likelihoods is computationally demanding, limiting scalability to large datasets. We propose a stabilised weighted subsampling methodology for accelerated inference based on an unbiased…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Matias Quiroz , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Zixuan Wang , Thomas Goodwin

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

Support vector machine (SVM) is a powerful classification method that has achieved great success in many fields. Since its performance can be seriously impaired by redundant covariates, model selection techniques are widely used for SVM…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-25 Chaoxia Yuan , Chao Ying , Zhou Yu , Fang Fang

A novel linear classification method that possesses the merits of both the Support Vector Machine (SVM) and the Distance-weighted Discrimination (DWD) is proposed in this article. The proposed Distance-weighted Support Vector Machine method…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-09 Xingye Qiao , Lingsong Zhang

We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-21 Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We develop a new Bayesian approach to estimating panel spatial autoregressive models with a known number of latent common factors, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger than T, the number of time periods. Without…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-28 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G Hall , George S. Tavlas