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相关论文: Spatial Analysis of Seasonal Precipitation over Ir…

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The coupled atmosphere-ocean variability of the Indo-Pacific on interannual to multidecadal timescales is investigated in a millennial control run of CCSM4 and in observations using a family of modes recovered in Part~I of this work from…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-09-30 Dimitrios Giannakis , Joanna Slawinska

The influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) on the precipitation extremes in Indonesia during the rainy season (October to April) has been evaluated using the daily station rain gauge data and the gridded Asian Precipitation Highly…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-07-22 Fadhlil R. Muhammad , Sandro W. Lubis , Sonni Setiawan

The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Intuitively, one would expect a more skillful forecast if predicting weather averaged over one week instead of the weather averaged over one day, and similarly for different spatial averaging areas. However, there are few systematic studies…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-07-28 Ying Li , Samuel N. Stechmann

The challenge in predicting sub-regional climate within the Indian monsoon region is exacerbated by its increasing variability in a warming world. While exploring the seasonal predictability of rainfall over the state of Tamil Nadu in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-05 Harini S , Devabrat Sharma , Yogenraj Patil , Gaurav Chopra , Shruti Tandon , B. N. Goswami , R. I. Sujith

Forecasts of monsoon rainfall for India are made at national scale. But there is spatial coherence and heterogeneity that is relevant to forecasting. This paper considers year-to-year rainfall change and annual extremes at sub-national…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-27 Adway Mitra , Ashwin K. Seshadri

The temporal and spatial trends of 16 climate extreme indices based on daily maximum and minimum temperatures during the period 1987-2016 at 28 stations distributed across Israel and Palestine in the Levant region were annually and…

Between 2001 and 2023, we obtained high spectral resolution mid-infrared observations of Io using the TEXES instrument at NASA's Infrared Telescope Facility. These observations were centered at 529.8 cm-1 (18.88 {\mu}m) and include several…

Studying the response of a climate system to perturbations has practical significance. Standard methods in computing the trajectory-wise deviation caused by perturbations may suffer from the chaotic nature that makes the model error…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-07 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

Assessing water quality and recognizing its associated risks to human health and the broader environment is undoubtedly essential. Groundwater is widely used to supply water for drinking, industry, and agriculture purposes. The groundwater…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-08 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah , Havard Rue

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

Seasonal climate forecasts are commonly based on model runs from fully coupled forecasting systems that use Earth system models to represent interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land and other Earth-system components. Recently,…

In this paper, we introduce two new model-based versions of the widely-used standardized precipitation index (SPI) for detecting and quantifying the magnitude of extreme hydro-climatic events. Our analytical approach is based on generalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-19 Erick A. Chacón-Montalván , Luke Parry , Gemma Davies , Benjamin M. Taylor

A time-variable 1D photochemical model is used to study the distribution of stratospheric hydrocarbons as a function of altitude, latitude, and season on Uranus and Neptune. The results for Neptune indicate that in the absence of…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-03-29 Julianne I. Moses , Leigh N. Fletcher , Thomas K. Greathouse , Glenn S. Orton , Vincent Hue

We investigate the response of space weather events on Earth's upper atmosphere over the polar regions by studying their effect on the drag of the CHAMP and GRACE satellites. Increasing solar activity that results in heating and the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-02-24 M. Scherf , S. Krauss , G. Tsurikov , A. Strasser , V. Shematovich , D. Bisikalo , H. Lammer , M. Güdel , C. Möstl

Studying the impact of climate change on precipitation is constrained by finding a way to evaluate the evolution of precipitation variability over time. Classical approaches (feature-based) have shown their limitations for this issue due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-25 Mohamed Djallel Dilmi , Laurent Barthès , Cécile Mallet , Aymeric Chazottes

Accurate precipitation forecasting is crucial for early warnings of disasters, such as floods and landslides. Traditional forecasts rely on ground-based radar systems, which are space-constrained and have high maintenance costs.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Young-Jae Park , Doyi Kim , Minseok Seo , Hae-Gon Jeon , Yeji Choi

Climate change projections for boreal winter precipitation in Tropical America has beenaddressed by statistical downscaling (SD) using the principal component regression with sea-level pressure (SLP) as the predictor variable. The SD model…

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

Traditionally, during the monsoon season, more rainfall is received along the Western Ghats, the Northern Gangetic plains, the central belt, and northeast India. However, recently, there has been a shift in this canonical monsoon rainfall…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-30 Akshara Satheesh , Rajib Chattopadhyay