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In 2008 a sequence of geomagnetic storms occurred triggered by high-speed solar wind streams from coronal holes. Improved estimates of precipitating fluxes of energetic electrons are derived from measurements on board the NOAA/POES 18…

Most climate trend studies analyze long-term trends as a proxy for climate dynamics. However, when examining seasonal data, it is unrealistic to assume that long-term trends remain consistent across all seasons. Instead, each season likely…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jaechoul Lee , Mintaek Lee , Thea Sukianto

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) are dominant drivers of boreal summer precipitation variability in tropical and subtropical regions. Although the regional precipitation dynamics in these two regions have…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-05-15 Felix Strnad , Kieran M. R. Hunt , Niklas Boers , Bedartha Goswami

Anomalies during an El Nino are dominated by a single, irregularly oscillating, mode. Equatorial dynamics has been linked to delayed-oscillator models of this mode. Usually, the El Nino mode is regarded as an unstable mode of the coupled…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Gerrit Burgers

Evaporation is one of the main processes in the hydrological cycle, and it is one of the most critical factors in agricultural, hydrological, and meteorological studies. Due to the interactions of multiple climatic factors, the evaporation…

The predictability of extreme winter regimes in the regions of Northern Eurasia depending on El Ni\~no phenomena is assessed using data from long-term meteorological observations. The frequency of extremely warm and extremely cold winters…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-29 I. I. Mokhov

This study examines the influence of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on Indonesian precipitation during the extended boreal summer (May to September). The MJO is one of the dominant intraseasonal variabilities that influence the extreme…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-12-02 Fadhil R. Muhammad , Sandro W. Lubis , Sonni Setiawan

Coastally associated rainfall is a common feature especially in tropical and subtropical regions. However, it has been difficult to quantify the contribution of coastal rainfall features to the overall local rainfall. We develop a novel…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-10-16 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob , Todd P. Lane

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest driver of interannual global climate variability and can lead to extreme weather events like droughts and flooding. Additionally, ENSO influences the mean global temperature with…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-02-04 J. Ludescher , J. Meng , J. Fan , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

In the present tropical atmosphere, precipitation typically exhibits noisy, small-amplitude fluctuations about an average. However, recent cloud-resolving simulations show that in a hothouse climate, precipitation can shift to a regime…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-22 Da Yang , Dorian S. Abbot , Seth Seidel

We study the forced response of the teleconnection between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global precipitation in general and the Indian summer monsoon (IM) in particular in the Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble. The forced…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-09-07 Tamás Bódai , Gábor Drótos , Kyung-Ja Ha , June-Yi Lee , Tímea Haszpra , Eui-Seok Chung

Quantitative forecasting of average rainfall into the next season remains highly challenging, but in some favourable isolated cases may be possible with a series of relatively simple steps. We chose to explore predictions of austral…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-21 Stjepan Marcelja

Extreme precipitation in the Arctic region plays a crucial role in global weather and climate patterns. Bear Island (Bj{\o}rn{\o}ya) is located in the Norwegian Svalbard archipelago, which is, therefore, selected for our study on extreme…

We simulated the modulation of the interstellar neutral (ISN) He, Ne, and O density and pick-up ion (PUI) production rate and count rate along the Earth's orbit over the solar cycle from 2002 to 2013 to verify if solar cycle-related effects…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-04-08 Justyna M. Sokół , Maciej Bzowski , Marzena A. Kubiak , Eberhard Möbius

To study trends in extreme precipitation across US over the years 1951-2017, we consider 10 climate indexes that represent extreme precipitation, such as annual maximum of daily precipitation, annual maximum of consecutive 5-day average…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Arnab Hazra , Brian J. Reich , Ana-Maria Staicu

Frequency of warm and cold winters in the North Eurasian regions is analyzed from long-term data, depending on El Nino phenomena of different types. Frequencies of extremely warm and extremely cold winters for North Eurasian regions in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-01-04 I. I. Mokhov

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits diverse characteristics in spatial pattern, peak intensity, and temporal evolution. Here we develop a three-region multiscale stochastic model to show that the observed ENSO complexity can be…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-04-16 Nan Chen , Xianghui Fang , Jin-Yi Yu

The Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) has a decisive influence on India's agricultural output and economy. Extreme deviations from the normal seasonal amount of rainfall can cause severe droughts or floods, affecting Indian food…

50 year-long time series from a Long Term Agronomic Experiment have been used to to investigate the effects of climate change on yields of Wheat and Maize. Trends and fluctuations, useful to estimate production forecasts and related risks…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Giuliano Vitali , Sergei Rogosin , Guido Baldoni

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah