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In a statistical analysis of more than a century of data we find a strong connection between strong warm El Nino winter events and high spring precipitation in a band from Southern England eastwards into Asia. This relationship is an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Geert Jan van Oldenborgh , Gerrit Burgers , Albert Klein Tank

This study investigates the variability of the Central England Temperature (CET) series in relation to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) using advanced time series modeling techniques. Leveraging…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Jiahe Ling

The evaluation of possible climate change consequence on extreme rainfall has significant implications for the design of engineering structure and socioeconomic resources development. While many studies have assessed the impact of climate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-06-02 Poulomi Ganguli , Paulin Coulibaly

This work investigates climate--projections over a transitional region between dry and wet climates, the Iberian Peninsula (IP). With this purpose, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, driven CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR GCMs…

Tropical cyclones are affected by a large number of climatic factors, which translates into complex patterns of occurrence. The variability of annual metrics of tropical-cyclone activity has been intensively studied, in particular since the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Alvaro Corral , Antonio Turiel

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most predominant interannual variability in the tropics, significantly impacting global weather and climate. In this paper, a framework of low-order conceptual models for the ENSO is…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-08-09 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

The mechanisms of interaction between the seasonal cycle and ENSO are investigated using the Zebiak and Cane ENSO prediction model. The most dominant seasonal effect is found to be due to the wind divergence field, as determined by the…

ao-sci · 物理学 2008-02-03 Eli Tziperman , Steve Zebiak , Mark Cane

Extreme rainfall in the Indian summer monsoon can be destructive and deadly. Although El Ni\~no/ events in the equatorial Pacific make dry days and whole summers more likely throughout India, their influence on daily extremes is not well…

Quantifying the impact of climate change on future air quality is a challenging subject in air quality studies. An ANN model is employed to simulate hourly O3 concentrations. The model is developed based on hourly monitored values of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-05-20 Ehsan Mosadegh , Khosro Ashrafi , Majid Shafiepour Motlagh , Iman Babaeian

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant driver of interannual global climate variability and can lead to extreme weather events such as droughts or flooding. Recently, we have developed several statistical approaches for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-02-17 Josef Ludescher , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan , Armin Bunde , Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth's strongest source of interannual climate variability. Although its center of action is in the tropical Pacific, it has significant influences on the climate at the planetary scale. ENSO is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-05 Gian Luca Eusebi Borzelli , Cosimo Enrico Carniel , Sandro Carniel , Mauro Sclavo

Understanding current global climate requires an understanding of trends both in Earth's atmospheric temperature and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a characteristic large-scale distribution of warm water in the tropical Pacific…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-02-27 L. M. W. Leggett , D. A. Ball

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) obtained using instrumental and documentary proxy predictors from Eurasia is found to be characterized by a quasi 60-year dominant oscillation since 1650. This pattern emerges clearly once the NAO record…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-06-27 Adriano Mazzarella , Nicola Scafetta

An accurate and precise understanding of global irrigation usage is crucial for a variety of climate science efforts. Irrigation is highly energy-intensive, and as population growth continues at its current pace, increases in crop need and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-04-05 Weixin , Wu , Sonal Thakkar , Will Hawkins , Hossein Vahabi , Alberto Todeschini

Recent work has provided ample evidence that global climate dynamics at time-scales between multiple weeks and several years can be severely affected by the episodic occurrence of both, internal (climatic) and external (non-climatic)…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-11-15 Tim Kittel , Catrin Ciemer , Nastaran Lotfi , Thomas Peron , Francisco Rodrigues , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

We show that the monthly recorded history (1878-2013) of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), a descriptor of the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, can be well described as a dynamic system that supports an average…

地球物理 · 物理学 2018-05-21 H. F. Astudillo , R. Abarca-del-Rio , F. A. Borotto

Grid (1{\deg} latitude x 1{\deg} longitude) level daily rainfall data over India from June to September for the years 1951 to 2007, generated by India Meteorological Department, was analyzed to build monthly time series of Standardized…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-09-16 M. Naresh Kumar , C. S. Murthy , M. V. R. Sesha Sai , P. S. Roy

Two new indicators of rainfall seasonality based on information entropy, the relative entropy (RE) and the dimensionless seasonality index (DSI), together with the mean annual rainfall, are evaluated on a global scale for recently updated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-09-02 Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Xue Feng , Amilcare Porporato , Shabeh ul Hasson

There has been global attention focused on extreme climatic changes. The purpose of this paper is to explore the response of extreme precipitation events to solar activity, over Kerala, India. The three solar indices - sunspot number, F10.7…

空间物理 · 物理学 2024-11-19 Elizabeth Thomas , S. Vineeth , Noble P. Abraham

This study investigates temporal variability in U.S. climate using harmonic decomposition techniques, specifically Fourier and wavelet transforms. Monthly temperature, precipitation, and drought index data from the National Oceanic and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-13 Thomas Xiao