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We implement a computer-assisted approach that, under appropriate conditions, allows the bifurcation analysis of the coarse dynamic behavior of microscopic simulators without requiring the explicit derivation of closed macroscopic equations…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Alexei G. Makeev , Dimitrios Maroudas , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

The multi-level Monte Carlo method proposed by M. Giles (2008) approximates the expectation of some functionals applied to a stochastic process with optimal order of convergence for the mean-square error. In this paper, a modified…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-20 Kristian Debrabant , Andreas Rößler

Being the most classical generative model for serial data, state-space models (SSM) are fundamental in AI and statistical machine learning. In SSM, any form of parameter learning or latent state inference typically involves the computation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-04 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

We study a high-dimensional regression setting under the assumption of known covariate distribution. We aim at estimating the amount of explained variation in the response by the best linear function of the covariates (the signal level). In…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-12 Ilan Livne , David Azriel , Yair Goldberg

Stochastic optimization in learning and inference often relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to approximate gradients when exact computation is intractable. However, finite-time MCMC estimators are biased, and reducing this bias…

We study theoretical properties of regularized robust M-estimators, applicable when data are drawn from a sparse high-dimensional linear model and contaminated by heavy-tailed distributions and/or outliers in the additive errors and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh

We study the approximation of expectations $\E(f(X))$ for Gaussian random elements $X$ with values in a separable Hilbert space $H$ and Lipschitz continuous functionals $f \colon H \to \R$. We consider restricted Monte Carlo algorithms,…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-15 Michael B. Giles , Mario Hefter , Lukas Mayer , Klaus Ritter

The stochastic block model (SBM) is a probabilistic model de- signed to describe heterogeneous directed and undirected graphs. In this paper, we address the asymptotic inference on SBM by use of maximum- likelihood and variational…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-02 Alain Celisse , J. -J. Daudin , Laurent Pierre

The goal of this paper is to provide a cohesive description and a critical comparison of the main estimators proposed in the literature for spatial binary choice models. The properties of such estimators are investigated using a theoretical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-03 Raffaella Calabrese , Johan A. Elkink

We present a high-performance budgeted multi-level Monte Carlo method for estimates on the entire spatial domain of multi-PDE problems with random input data. The method is designed to operate optimally within memory and CPU-time…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-10 Niklas Baumgarten , Robert Kutri , Robert Scheichl

We present an original simulation-based method to estimate likelihood ratios efficiently for general state-space models. Our method relies on a novel use of the conditional Sequential Monte Carlo (cSMC) algorithm introduced in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-10 Sinan Yıldırım , Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet

To fast approximate maximum likelihood estimators with massive data, this paper studies the Optimal Subsampling Method under the A-optimality Criterion (OSMAC) for generalized linear models. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Mingyao Ai , Jun Yu , Huiming Zhang , HaiYing Wang

This study proposes a robust estimator for stochastic frontier models by integrating the idea of Basu et al. [1998, Biometrika 85, 549-559] into such models. We verify that the suggested estimator is strongly consistent and asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-29 Junmo Song , Dong-hyun Oh , Jiwon Kang

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

To improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation, practitioners are turning to biased Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures that trade off asymptotic exactness for computational speed. The reasoning is sound: a reduction in variance due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-03 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

Many generative models can be expressed as a differentiable function of random inputs drawn from some simple probability density. This framework includes both deep generative architectures such as Variational Autoencoders and a large class…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-06 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

We introduce a Monte Carlo algorithm to efficiently compute transport properties of chaotic dynamical systems. Our method exploits the importance sampling technique that favors trajectories in the tail of the distribution of displacements,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-05-25 Diego Tapias , David P. Sanders , Eduardo G. Altmann

The famous least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm combines linear least square regression with Monte Carlo simulation to approximately solve problems in stochastic optimal stopping theory. In this work, we propose a quantum LSM based on…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-07-28 João F. Doriguello , Alessandro Luongo , Jinge Bao , Patrick Rebentrost , Miklos Santha

Dynamic structural equation models (DSEMs) combine time-series modeling of within-person processes with hierarchical modeling of between-person differences and differences between timepoints, and have become very popular for the analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Øystein Sørensen