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We consider penalized extremum estimation of a high-dimensional, possibly nonlinear model that is sparse in the sense that most of its parameters are zero but some are not. We use the SCAD penalty function, which provides model selection…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-23 Joel L. Horowitz , Ahnaf Rafi

In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

Properties of the self-adjusted Monte Carlo algorithm applied to 2d Ising ferromagnet are studied numerically. The endogenous feedback form expressed in terms of the instant running averages is suggested in order to generate a biased random…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Denis Horvath , Martin Gmitra , Zoltan Kuscsik

We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

We consider stochastic convex optimization problems where the objective is an expectation over smooth functions. For this setting we suggest a novel gradient estimate that combines two recent mechanism that are related to notion of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-06 Tehila Dahan , Kfir Y. Levy

Least squares Monte Carlo methods are a popular numerical approximation method for solving stochastic control problems. Based on dynamic programming, their key feature is the approximation of the conditional expectation of future rewards by…

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

This work concerns the estimation of multidimensional nonlinear regression models using multilayer perceptrons (MLPs). The main problem with such models is that we need to know the covariance matrix of the noise to get an optimal estimator.…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-22 Joseph Rynkiewicz

This work concerns estimation of multidimensional nonlinear regression models using multilayer perceptron (MLP). The main problem with such model is that we have to know the covariance matrix of the noise to get optimal estimator. however…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-22 Joseph Rynkiewicz

In this paper, we generalize the property of local asymptotic normality (LAN) to an enlarged neighborhood, under the name of rescaled local asymptotic normality (RLAN). We obtain sufficient conditions for a regular parametric model to…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-02 Ning Ning , Edward Ionides , Ya'acov Ritov

Approximate Thompson sampling with Langevin Monte Carlo broadens its reach from Gaussian posterior sampling to encompass more general smooth posteriors. However, it still encounters scalability issues in high-dimensional problems when…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-24 Haoyang Zheng , Wei Deng , Christian Moya , Guang Lin

We study a stochastic program where the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is unknown and only indirectly observed via finitely many correlated samples generated by an unknown Markov chain with $d$ states. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-15 Mengmeng Li , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method with constant number of walkers, also called Stochastic Reconfiguration as well as Sequential Monte Carlo, is a widely used Monte Carlo methodology for computing the ground-state energy and wave function of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-09 Michel Caffarel , Pierre del Moral , Luc de Montella

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

Many statistical applications require an estimate of a covariance matrix and/or its inverse. When the matrix dimension is large compared to the sample size, which happens frequently, the sample covariance matrix is known to perform poorly…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-24 Olivier Ledoit , Michael Wolf

We present and analyse a micro-macro acceleration method for the Monte Carlo simulation of stochastic differential equations with separation between the (fast) time-scale of individual trajectories and the (slow) time-scale of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-12-04 Kristian Debrabant , Giovanni Samaey , Przemysław Zieliński

A multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for quantifying model-form uncertainties associated with the Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations is presented. Two, high-dimensional, stochastic extensions of the RANS equations are…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-11-05 Prashant Kumar , Martin Schmelzer , Richard P. Dwight

In this paper, we propose improved estimation method for logistic regression based on subsamples taken according the optimal subsampling probabilities developed in Wang et al. 2018 Both asymptotic results and numerical results show that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-24 HaiYing Wang

Distributed statistical inference has recently attracted immense attention. The asymptotic efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the one-step MLE, and the aggregated estimating equation estimator are established for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Ping Zhou , Zhen Yu , Jingyi Ma , Maozai Tian , Ye Fan