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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo can provide powerful inference in complex statistical problems, but ultimately its performance is sensitive to various tuning parameters. In this paper we use the underlying geometry of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-03 M. J. Betancourt , Simon Byrne , Mark Girolami

Classical estimation techniques for linear models either are inconsistent, or perform rather poorly, under $\alpha$-stable error densities; most of them are not even rate-optimal. In this paper, we propose an original one-step R-estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-19 Marc Hallin , Yvik Swan , Thomas Verdebout , David Veredas

In this work we construct an optimal shrinkage estimator for the precision matrix in high dimensions. We consider the general asymptotics when the number of variables $p\rightarrow\infty$ and the sample size $n\rightarrow\infty$ so that…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Arjun K. Gupta , Nestor Parolya

The Dynamic Monte Carlo (DMC) method is an established molecular simulation technique for the analysis of the dynamics in colloidal suspensions. An excellent alternative to Brownian Dynamics or Molecular Dynamics simulation, DMC is…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2020-07-15 Fabián A. García Daza , Alejandro Cuetos , Alessandro Patti

In this paper we derive the optimal linear shrinkage estimator for the high-dimensional mean vector using random matrix theory. The results are obtained under the assumption that both the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$ tend to…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-17 Taras Bodnar , Ostap Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

We introduce a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for the multivariate density of max-stable fields generated by Gaussian processes. Our estimators take advantage of recent results on exact simulation of max-stable fields combined…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Jose Blanchet , Zhipeng Liu

The problem of estimating certain distributions over $\{0,1\}^d$ is considered here. The distribution represents a quantum system of $d$ qubits, where there are non-trivial dependencies between the qubits. A maximum entropy approach is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-08 Ryan Bennink , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Pavel Lougovski

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

In the present paper we consider a dynamic stochastic network model. The objective is estimation of the tensor of connection probabilities $\Lambda$ when it is generated by a Dynamic Stochastic Block Model (DSBM) or a dynamic graphon. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-10 Marianna Pensky

We unify and extend the semigroup and the PDE approaches to stochastic maximal regularity of time-dependent semilinear parabolic problems with noise given by a cylindrical Brownian motion. We treat random coefficients that are only…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-02-12 Pierre Portal , Mark Veraar

A trigonometrically approximated maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable laws is proposed. The estimator solves the approximated likelihood equation, which is obtained by projecting a true score function on the space spanned by…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Muneya Matsui , Naoya Sueishi

We consider the problem of numerical approximation of integrals of random fields over a unit hypercube. We use a stratified Monte Carlo quadrature and measure the approximation performance by the mean squared error. The quadrature is…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-05 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

This article considers stochastic algorithms for efficiently solving a class of large scale non-linear least squares (NLS) problems which frequently arise in applications. We propose eight variants of a practical randomized algorithm where…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-01-27 Farbod Roosta-Khorasani , Gábor J. Székely , Uri Ascher

High-dimensional simulation optimization is notoriously challenging. We propose a new sampling algorithm that converges to a global optimal solution and suffers minimally from the curse of dimensionality. The algorithm consists of two…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Xiaowei Zhang

Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, the pricing of American and Bermudan options can be casted into optimal stopping problems. We propose a new adaptive simulation based algorithm for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems in…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Daniel Egloff , Michael Kohler , Nebojsa Todorovic

Stabilizing feedback operators are presented which depend only on the orthogonal projection of the state onto the finite-dimensional control space. A class of monotone feedback operators mapping the finite-dimensional control space into…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-03-10 Karl Kunisch , Sérgio S. Rodrigues , Daniel Walter

We introduce a new family of estimators for unnormalized statistical models. Our family of estimators is parameterized by two nonlinear functions and uses a single sample from an auxiliary distribution, generalizing Maximum Likelihood Monte…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-19 Miika Pihlaja , Michael Gutmann , Aapo Hyvarinen

We consider a class of finite time horizon nonlinear stochastic optimal control problem, where the control acts additively on the dynamics and the control cost is quadratic. This framework is flexible and has found applications in many…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-26 Ajay Jasra , Jeremy Heng , Yaxian Xu , Adrian N. Bishop

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) or diffusions are continuous-valued continuous-time stochastic processes widely used in the applied and mathematical sciences. Simulating paths from these processes is usually an intractable problem,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Qi Wang , Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh