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We introduce a numerical procedure to evaluate directly the probabilities of large deviations of physical quantities, such as current or density, that are local in time. The large-deviation functions are given in terms of the typical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Cristian Giardina' , Jorge Kurchan , Luca Peliti

Let $\theta\in\mathbb{R}^d$. We associate three objects to each approximation $(p,q)\in \mathbb{Z}^d\times \mathbb{N}$ of $\theta$: the projection of the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^{d+1}$ to the hyperplane of the first $d$ coordinates along the…

数论 · 数学 2025-05-20 Uri Shapira , Barak Weiss

The Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) plays a central role in modelling heavy tail phenomena in many applications. Applying the GPD to actual datasets however is a non-trivial task. One common way suggested in the literature to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-08 Se Yoon Lee , Joseph H. T. Kim

If a self-map $\sigma \colon \mathcal{X} \rightarrow \mathcal{X}$ has a dynamical zeta function with nonzero radius of convergence $1/\Lambda$ and the Ces\`aro mean $B$ of $ \# \mathrm{Fix}(\sigma^k)/\Lambda^k$ exists and is positive, we…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-05-26 Gunther Cornelissen , Sun Woo Park

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

A large deviation function mathematically characterizes the statistical property of atypical events. Recently, in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, large deviation functions have been used to describe universal laws such as the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-04-26 Shin-ichi Sasa

We prove a conjecture by Vemuri by proving sharp bounds on $\ell^{\kappa}$ sums of Hermite functions multiplied by an exponentially decaying factor. More explicitly, we prove that, for each $y>0,$ we have \[ \sum_{n \ge 1} |h_n(x)|^{\kappa}…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2023-05-31 Danylo Radchenko , João P. G. Ramos

In the standard formulation of the occupancy problem one considers the distribution of r balls in n cells, with each ball assigned independently to a given cell with probability 1/n. Although closed form expressions can be given for the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Carl Nuzman , Phil Whiting

A major issue of extreme value analysis is the determination of the shape parameter $\xi$ common to Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) and Generalized Pareto (GP) distributions, which drives the tail behavior, and is of major impact on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-19 Nicolas Bousquet , Merlin Keller

Consider the continuous greedy paths model: given a $d$-dimensional Poisson point process with positive marks interpreted as masses, let $\mathrm P(\ell)$ denote the maximum mass gathered by a path of length $\ell$ starting from the origin.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-04 Julien Verges

Motivated by a wide variety of applications, ranging from stochastic optimization to dimension reduction through variable selection, the problem of estimating gradients accurately is of crucial importance in statistics and learning theory.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-29 Guillaume Ausset , Stephan Clémençon , François Portier

In this paper, we use the framework of mod-$\phi$ convergence to prove precise large or moderate deviations for quite general sequences of real valued random variables $(X_{n})_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$, which can be lattice or non-lattice…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-14 Valentin Féray , Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

Statistical divergences are ubiquitous in machine learning as tools for measuring discrepancy between probability distributions. As these applications inherently rely on approximating distributions from samples, we consider empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-01 Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

Practical diffusion sampling is a numerical approximation problem: under a fixed inference budget, one must simulate a reverse-time ODE or SDE using only a limited number of denoising steps, so discretization error is often the dominant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Samuel Hurault , Thomas Moreau , Gabriel Peyré

For suitable families of locally infinitely divisible Markov processes $\{\xi^{{\epsilon}}_t\}_{0\leq t\leq T}$ with frequent small jumps depending on a small parameter $\epsilon>0,$ precise asymptotics for large deviations of integral…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-27 Xiangfeng Yang

Given a weighted graph $G=(V,E,w)$, a partition of $V$ is $\Delta$-bounded if the diameter of each cluster is bounded by $\Delta$. A distribution over $\Delta$-bounded partitions is a $\beta$-padded decomposition if every ball of radius…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-01-09 Arnold Filtser

The goal of this paper is to go further in the analysis of the behavior of the number of descents in a random permutation. Via two different approaches relying on a suitable martingale decomposition or on the Irwin-Hall distribution, we…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-20 Bernard Bercu , Michel Bonnefont , Adrien Richou

We derive new explicit bounds for the total variation distance between two convolution products of $n$ probability distributions, one of which having identical convolution factors. Approximations by finite signed measures of arbitrary order…

概率论 · 数学 2008-11-06 Bero Roos

In this paper, we establish explicit convergence rates for the stochastic smooth approximations of infimal convolutions introduced and developed in \cite{MR4581306,MR4923371}. In particular, we quantify the convergence of the associated…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-23 Diego Morales , Pedro Pérez-Aros , Emilio Vilches

The estimation of large covariance matrices has a high dimensional bias. Correcting for this bias can be reformulated via the tool of Free Probability Theory as a free deconvolution. The goal of this work is a computational and statistical…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-10 Reda Chhaibi , Fabrice Gamboa , Slim Kammoun , Mauricio Velasco