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Electricity price forecasts play a crucial role in making key business decisions within the electricity markets. A focal point in this domain are probabilistic predictions, which delineate future price values in a more comprehensive manner…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Grzegorz Zakrzewski , Kacper Skonieczka , Mikołaj Małkiński , Jacek Mańdziuk

Anomaly detection in multivariate time series is an important problem across various fields such as healthcare, financial services, manufacturing or physics detector monitoring. Accurately identifying when unexpected errors or faults occur…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-26 Laura Boggia , Rafael Teixeira de Lima , Bogdan Malaescu

Change point detection becomes more and more important as datasets increase in size, where unsupervised detection algorithms can help users process data. To detect change points, a number of unsupervised algorithms have been developed which…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-06-18 Rebecca Gedda , Larisa Beilina , Ruomu Tan

This paper provides an overview of three notable approaches for detecting anomalies in spatio-temporal data. The three review methods are selected from the framework of multivariate statistical process control (SPC), scan statistics, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Ji Chen

This paper considers the quickest search problem to identify anomalies among large numbers of data streams. These streams can model, for example, disjoint regions monitored by a mobile robot. A particular challenge is a version of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-20 Matthew Ubl , Benjamin D. Robinson , Matthew T. Hale

We study the price rigidity of regular and sale prices, and how it is affected by pricing formats (pricing strategies). We use data from three large Canadian stores with different pricing formats (Every-Day-Low-Price, Hi-Lo, and Hybrid)…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-03 Sourav Ray , Avichai Snir , Daniel Levy

As a model of market price, we introduce a new type of random walk in a moving potential which is approximated by a quadratic function with its center given by the moving average of its own trace. The properties of resulting random walks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Misako Takayasu , Takayuki Mizuno , Hideki Takayasu

We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-10 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

Developing technology and changing lifestyles have made online grocery delivery applications an indispensable part of urban life. Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the demand for such applications has dramatically increased,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-19 Aysun Bozanta , Sean Berry , Mucahit Cevik , Beste Bulut , Deniz Yigit , Fahrettin F. Gonen , Ayşe Başar

Detecting point anomalies in bank account balances is essential for financial institutions, as it enables the identification of potential fraud, operational issues, or other irregularities. Robust statistics is useful for flagging outliers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Federico Maddanu , Tommaso Proietti , Riccardo Crupi

The early detection and tracing of anomalous operations in battery packs are critical to improving performance and ensuring safety. This paper presents a data-driven approach for online anomaly detection in battery packs that uses real-time…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-23 Kiran Bhaskar , Ajith Kumar , James Bunce , Jacob Pressman , Neil Burkell , Christopher D. Rahn

The scan statistic is by far the most popular method for anomaly detection, being popular in syndromic surveillance, signal and image processing, and target detection based on sensor networks, among other applications. The use of the scan…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-28 Ery Arias-Castro , Rui M. Castro , Ervin Tánczos , Meng Wang

Sequential change point detection for multivariate autocorrelated data is a very common problem in practice. However, when the sensing resources are limited, only a subset of variables from the multivariate system can be observed at each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Haijie Xu , Xiaochen Xian , Chen Zhang , Kaibo Liu

We consider the problem of efficient financial surveillance aimed at "on-the-go" detection of structural breaks (anomalies) in "live"-monitored financial time series. With the problem approached statistically, viz. as that of multi-cyclic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-04 Andrey Pepelyshev , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) data is a critical task for maintaining model reliability and robustness. In this study, we propose a novel anomaly detection algorithm that leverages the convex hull (CH) property of a dataset by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Uri Itai , Asael Bar Ilan , Teddy Lazebnik

Sequences of random objects arise from many real applications, including high throughput omic data and functional imaging data. Those sequences are usually dependent, non-linear, or even Non-Euclidean, and an important problem is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-28 Xueqin Wang , Qiang Zhang , Wenliang Pan , Xin Chen , Heping Zhang

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

We present a novel scheme to boost detection power for kernel maximum mean discrepancy based sequential change-point detection procedures. Our proposed scheme features an optimal sub-sampling of the history data before the detection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Song Wei , Chaofan Huang

In a market with transaction costs, the price of a derivative can be expressed in terms of (preconsistent) price systems (after Kusuoka (1995)). In this paper, we consider a market with binomial model for stock price and discuss how to…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Tzuu-Shuh Chiang , Shang-Yuan Shiu , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis