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The problem of nonparametric estimation of the conditional density of a response, given a vector of explanatory variables, is classical and of prominent importance in many prediction problems since the conditional density provides a more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-21 Catia Scricciolo

Effect size indices are useful tools in study design and reporting because they are unitless measures of association strength that do not depend on sample size. Existing effect size indices are developed for particular parametric models or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Simon Vandekar , Ran Tao , Jeffrey Blume

This article proposes numerically robust algorithms for Gaussian state estimation with singular observation noise. Our approach combines a series of basis changes with Bayes' rule, transforming the singular estimation problem into a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Nicholas Krämer , Filip Tronarp

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

The sample mean is often used to aggregate different unbiased estimates of a parameter, producing a final estimate that is unbiased but possibly high-variance. This paper introduces the Bayesian median of means, an aggregation rule that…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-05 Paulo Orenstein

We revisit the uncertainty in baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) forecasts and data analyses. In particular, we study how much the uncertainties on both the measured mean dilation scale and the associated error bar are affected by the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Wai-Hin Wayne Ngan , Joachim Harnois-Déraps , Ue-Li Pen , Patrick McDonald , Ilana MacDonald

This paper studies the control-oriented identification problem of set-valued moving average systems with uniform persistent excitations and observation noises. A stochastic approximation-based (SA-based) algorithm without projections or…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-25 Jieming Ke , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

This paper introduces a new algorithm for the so-called "Analysis Problem" in quantization of finite frame representations which provides a near-optimal solution in the case of random measurements. The main contributions include the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-05-09 Evan Chou , Sinan Güntürk

Environmental model performances need to be assessed using some statistical parameters, such as mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The advantages and disadvantages of these parameters are still in controversial.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-12 Weining Zhu

Ideally, a meta-analysis will summarize data from several unbiased studies. Here we consider the less than ideal situation in which contributing studies may be compromised by measurement error. Measurement error affects every study design,…

We study the task of noiseless linear regression under Gaussian covariates in the presence of additive oblivious contamination. Specifically, we are given i.i.d.\ samples from a distribution $(x, y)$ on $\mathbb{R}^d \times \mathbb{R}$ with…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Ilias Diakonikolas , Chao Gao , Daniel M. Kane , John Lafferty , Ankit Pensia

Consider linear regression where the examples are generated by an unknown distribution on $R^d\times R$. Without any assumptions on the noise, the linear least squares solution for any i.i.d. sample will typically be biased w.r.t. the least…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-08 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

In the general signal+noise model we construct an empirical Bayes posterior which we then use for uncertainty quantification for the unknown, possibly sparse, signal. We introduce a novel excessive bias restriction (EBR) condition, which…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-13 Eduard Belitser , Nurzhan Nurushev

The uniform white noise assumption is one of the basic assumptions in most of the existing directional-of-arrival (DOA) estimation methods. In many applications, however, the non-uniform white noise model is more adequate. Then the noise…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-09-21 M. Esfandiari , S. A. Vorobyov , S. Aliban , M. Karimi

We advocate a Bayesian approach to optimal quantum frequency estimation - an important issue for future quantum enhanced atomic clock operation. The approach provides a clear insight into the interplay between decoherence and the extent of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Katarzyna Macieszczak , Martin Fraas , Rafal Demkowicz-Dobrzanski

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

We consider a sparse linear regression model Y=X\beta^{*}+W where X has a Gaussian entries, W is the noise vector with mean zero Gaussian entries, and \beta^{*} is a binary vector with support size (sparsity) k. Using a novel conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-26 David Gamarnik , Ilias Zadik

In this paper we show that the classical problem of frequency estimation can be formulated and solved efficiently in an empirical Bayesian framework by assigning a uniform a priori probability distribution to the unknown frequency. We…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-27 Giorgio Picci , Bin Zhu