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We review the field of data assimilation (DA) from a Bayesian perspective and show that, in addition to its by now common application to state estimation, DA may be used for model selection. An important special case of the latter is the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-05 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Alexis Hannart , Michael Ghil

Imbalanced response variable distribution is a common occurrence in data science. In fields such as fraud detection, medical diagnostics, system intrusion detection and many others where abnormal behavior is rarely observed the data under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-21 Firuz Kamalov

We study the convergence of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for mixtures of linear regressions with an arbitrary number $k$ of components. We show that as long as signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is $\tilde{\Omega}(k)$,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-27 Jeongyeol Kwon , Constantine Caramanis

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

In this paper, we first propose a filter-based continuous Ensemble Eddy Viscosity (EEV) model for stochastic turbulent flow problems. We then propose a generic algorithm for a family of fully discrete, grad-div regularized, efficient…

Inverse problems are more challenging when only partial data are available in general. In this paper, we propose a two-step approach combining the extended sampling method and the ensemble Kalman filter to reconstruct an elastic rigid…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-10-13 Zhaoxing Li , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

A new algorithm named EXPected Similarity Estimation (EXPoSE) was recently proposed to solve the problem of large-scale anomaly detection. It is a non-parametric and distribution free kernel method based on the Hilbert space embedding of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-18 Markus Schneider , Wolfgang Ertel , Günther Palm

The ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) is a particle based method which has been introduced as the application of the ensemble Kalman filter to inverse problems. In practice it has been widely used as derivative-free optimization method in…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-09-21 Simon Weissmann

The effective sample size (ESS) is widely used in sample-based simulation methods for assessing the quality of a Monte Carlo approximation of a given distribution and of related integrals. In this paper, we revisit the approximation of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-14 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , Christian P. Robert

We study estimation of large Dynamic Factor models implemented through the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, jointly with the Kalman smoother. We prove that as both the cross-sectional dimension, $n$, and the sample size, $T$,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-26 Matteo Barigozzi , Matteo Luciani

Kernel learning forward backward SDE filter is an iterative and adaptive meshfree approach to solve the nonlinear filtering problem. It builds from forward backward SDE for Fokker-Planker equation, which defines evolving density for the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Yunzheng Lyu , Feng Bao

We develop a novel EDMD-type algorithm that captures the spectrum of the Koopman operator defined on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space of analytic functions. This method, which we call analytic EDMD, relies on an orthogonal projection on…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-01-16 Alexandre Mauroy , Igor Mezic

Ensemble Kalman methods were initially developed to solve nonlinear data assimilation problems in oceanography, but are now popular in applications far beyond their original use cases. Of particular interest is climate model calibration. As…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-11-21 Rebecca Gjini , Matthias Morzfeld , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

Frequency-domain electromagnetic (FDEM) data of the subsurface are determined by electrical conductivity and magnetic susceptibility. We apply a Kalman Ensemble generator (KEG) to one-dimensional probabilistic multi-layer inversion of FDEM…

Empirical divergence maximization (EDM) refers to a recently proposed strategy for estimating f-divergences and likelihood ratio functions. This paper extends the idea to empirical vector quantization where one seeks to empirically derive…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-03 Michael A. Lexa

We show that a large class of Estimation of Distribution Algorithms, including, but not limited to, Covariance Matrix Adaption, can be written as a Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximization algorithm, and as exact EM in the limit of infinite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 David H. Brookes , Akosua Busia , Clara Fannjiang , Kevin Murphy , Jennifer Listgarten

We study a one-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation (SDE) with a drift equal to a product of a distribution depending on the state of the process and a non-linear function depending pointwise on the law density of the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-04 Luis Mario Chaparro Jaquez , Elena Issoglio , Jan Palczewski

Data assimilation (DA) integrates numerical model forecasts with observations to achieve the optimal state estimation. Ensemble-based methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), are widely used for state estimation for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-25 Zhou Yao , Zhilin Li , Li Zhao , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

We consider the continuous version of the Vicsek model with noise, proposed as a model for collective behavior of individuals with a fixed speed. We rigorously derive the kinetic mean-field partial differential equation satisfied when the…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-06 François Bolley , José A. Cañizo , José A. Carrillo