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We present simple low-level conditions for identification in regression discontinuity designs using a potential outcome framework for the manipulation of the running variable. Using this framework, we replace the existing identification…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-18 Takuya Ishihara , Masayuki Sawada

Synthetic control (SC) models are widely used to estimate causal effects in settings with observational time-series data. To identify the causal effect on a target unit, SC requires the existence of correlated units that are not impacted by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Michael O'Riordan , Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee

This paper studies identification and inference in transformation models with endogenous censoring. Many kinds of duration models, such as the accelerated failure time model, proportional hazard model, and mixed proportional hazard model,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-05 Shosei Sakaguchi

In the conventional regression-discontinuity (RD) design, the probability that units receive a treatment changes discontinuously as a function of one covariate exceeding a threshold or cutoff point. This paper studies an extended RD design…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-13 Eugenio Felipe Merlano

We consider causal inference in dynamic settings where treatment is assigned by thresholding a state variable that can change over time. There is a large literature on regression-discontinuity methods building on the fact that, in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Aditya Ghosh , Stefan Wager

Regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental approach to study the causal effects of an intervention/treatment on later health outcomes. It exploits a continuously measured assignment variable with a clearly defined cut-off…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-28 Maja Popovic , Daniela Zugna , Lorenzo Richiardi

Repeating an imperfect biomarker test based on an initial result can introduce bias and influence misclassification risk. For example, in some blood donation settings, blood donors' hemoglobin is remeasured when the initial measurement…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Supun Manathunga , Mart P. Janssen , Yu Luo , W. Alton Russell , Mart Pothast

In clinical studies, the risk of the primary (terminal) event may be modified by intermediate events, resulting in semicompeting risks. To study the treatment effect on the terminal event mediated by the intermediate event, researchers wish…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Yuhao Deng , Rui Wang , Tao Zhang , Xiang Zhan

Clinical risk prediction is a valuable tool for guiding healthcare interventions toward those most likely to benefit. Yet, evaluating the pairing of a risk prediction model with an intervention using randomized controlled trials presents…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-31 Valerie Odeh-Couvertier , Gabriel Zayas-Caban , Brian Patterson , Amy Cochran

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

We consider a setting with agents that have preferences over alternatives and are partitioned into disjoint districts. The goal is to choose one alternative as the winner using a mechanism which first decides a representative alternative…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Alexandros A. Voudouris

The regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that can be used to identify and estimate the causal effect of a treatment using observational data. In an RDD, a pre-specified rule is used for treatment assignment,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-05 Panayiota Constantinou , Aidan G. O'Keeffe

Standard regression discontinuity design (RDD) models rely on the continuity of expected potential outcomes at the cutoff. The standard continuity assumption can be violated by strategic manipulation of the running variable, which is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-18 Rahul Singh , Moses Stewart

The causal inference model proposed by Lee (2008) for the regression discontinuity design (RDD) relies on assumptions that imply the continuity of the density of the assignment (running) variable. The test for this implication is commonly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-28 Federico Crippa

This paper considers (partial) identification of a variety of counterfactual parameters in binary response models with possibly endogenous regressors. Our framework allows for nonseparable index functions with multi-dimensional latent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-26 Jiaying Gu , Thomas M. Russell

We study regression discontinuity designs in which many predetermined covariates, possibly much more than the number of observations, can be used to increase the precision of treatment effect estimates. We consider a two-step estimator…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-06 Alexander Kreiß , Christoph Rothe

Quasi-experimental evaluations are central for generating real-world causal evidence and complementing insights from randomized trials. The regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that can be used to estimate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Maximilian Schuessler , Erik Sverdrup , Robert Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

Care deferral is the phenomenon where patients defer or are unable to receive healthcare services, such as seeing doctors, medications or planned surgery. Care deferral can be the result of patient decisions, service availability, service…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Muhammad Aurangzeb Ahmad , Raafia Ahmed , Steve Overman , Patrick Campbell , Corinne Stroum , Bipin Karunakaran

We propose a new estimation method for heterogeneous causal effects which utilizes a regression discontinuity (RD) design for multiple datasets with different thresholds. The standard RD design is frequently used in applied researches, but…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-14 Takayuki Toda , Ayako Wakano , Takahiro Hoshino

Timing decisions are common: when to file your taxes, finish a referee report, or complete a task at work. We ask whether time preferences can be inferred when \textsl{only} task completion is observed. To answer this question, we analyze…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-13 Paul Heidhues , Philipp Strack
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