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Conventionally, regression discontinuity analysis contrasts a univariate regression's limits as its independent variable, $R$, approaches a cut-point, $c$, from either side. Alternative methods target the average treatment effect in a small…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Adam C. Sales , Ben B. Hansen

Many policies hinge on a continuous variable exceeding a threshold, prompting strategic behavior by agents to stay on the favorable side. This creates density discontinuities at cutoffs, evident in contexts like taxable income, corporate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Surya T Tokdar , Rik Sen , Haoliang Zheng , Shuangjie Zhang

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design which emulates a randomised study by exploiting situations where treatment is assigned according to a continuous variable as is common in many drug treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-28 Sara Geneletti , Federico Ricciardi , Aidan O'Keeffe , Gianluca Baio

Humans exhibit time-inconsistent behavior, in which planned actions diverge from executed actions. Understanding time inconsistency and designing appropriate interventions is a key research challenge in computer science and behavioral…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Yasunori Akagi , Takeshi Kurashima

Discontinuities can be fairly arbitrary but also cause a significant impact on outcomes in larger systems. Indeed, their arbitrariness is why they have been used to infer causal relationships among variables in numerous settings. Regression…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Ibtihal Ferwana , Suyoung Park , Ting-Yi Wu , Lav R. Varshney

We present a practical guide for the analysis of regression discontinuity (RD) designs in biomedical contexts. We begin by introducing key concepts, assumptions, and estimands within both the continuity-based framework and the local…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-17 Matias D. Cattaneo , Luke Keele , Rocio Titiunik

The regression discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the causal effects of a treatment by exploiting naturally occurring treatment rules. It can be applied in any context where a particular treatment or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-10 Sara Geneletti , Aidan G. O'Keeffe , Linda D. Sharples , Sylvia Richardson , Gianluca Baio

This paper develops a model of \textit{identification design} and applies it to robust causal inference in microeconometrics. The decision maker observes the population distribution of signals generated by an information structure and ranks…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-20 Maxwell Rosenthal

Most known regret bounds for reinforcement learning are either episodic or assume an environment without traps. We derive a regret bound without making either assumption, by allowing the algorithm to occasionally delegate an action to an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-22 Vanessa Kosoy

Regression discontinuity designs have become one of the most popular research designs in empirical economics. We argue, however, that widely used approaches to building confidence intervals in regression discontinuity designs exhibit…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-01 Aditya Ghosh , Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

In many machine learning applications, there are multiple decision-makers involved, both automated and human. The interaction between these agents often goes unaddressed in algorithmic development. In this work, we explore a simple version…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-10 David Madras , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

This work bridges the gap between staggered adoption designs and survival analysis to estimate causal effects in settings with time-varying treatments, addressing a fundamental challenge in medical research exemplified by the Stanford Heart…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Xiang Meng , Iavor Bojinov

Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs rely on the continuity of potential outcome means at the cutoff, but this assumption often fails when other treatments or policies are implemented at this cutoff. We characterize the bias in sharp and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-25 Dor Leventer , Daniel Nevo

Medical professionals evaluating alternative treatment plans for a patient often encounter time varying confounders, or covariates that affect both the future treatment assignment and the patient outcome. The recently proposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-21 Garima Gupta , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Identification in a regression discontinuity (RD) research design hinges on the discontinuity in the probability of treatment when a covariate (assignment variable) exceeds a known threshold. When the assignment variable is measured with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-07 Zhuan Pei , Yi Shen

Research shows that women volunteer significantly more for tasks that people prefer others to complete. Such tasks carry little monetary incentives because of their very nature. We use a modified version of the volunteer's dilemma game to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-29 Ritwik Banerjee , Priyoma Mustafi

Regression discontinuity (RD) is a widely used quasi-experimental design for causal inference. In the standard RD, the assignment to treatment is determined by a continuous pretreatment variable (i.e., running variable) falling above or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-23 Fan Li , Andrea Mercatanti , Taneli Makinen , Andrea Silvestrini

This article introduces Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) with Distribution-Valued Outcomes (R3D), extending the standard RDD framework to settings where the outcome is a distribution rather than a scalar. Such settings arise when…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-08 David Van Dijcke

Delayed outcomes are ubiquitous in online experimentation. When such a temporal dimension is present, treatment influences not only the outcome value but also the outcome timing, which can move in opposite directions. Motivated by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Michael Lindon , Nathan Kallus

We extend the continuity-based framework to Regression Discontinuity Designs (RDDs) to identify and estimate causal effects under interference when units are connected through a network. Assignment to an "effective treatment," combining the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Elena Dal Torrione , Tiziano Arduini , Laura Forastiere