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The two-level normal hierarchical model has played an important role in statistical theory and applications. In this paper, we first introduce a general adjusted maximum likelihood method for estimating the unknown variance component of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-25 Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

The linear combination of Student's $t$ random variables (RVs) appears in many statistical applications. Unfortunately, the Student's $t$ distribution is not closed under convolution, thus, deriving an exact and general distribution for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Onel L. Alcaraz López , Evelio M. G. Fernández , Matti Latva-aho

This paper is committed to investigate an extension of the classical adaptive biasing force method, which is used to compute the free energy related to the Boltzmann-Gibbs measure and a reaction coordinate function. The issue of this…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-08 Houssam AlRachid , Tony Lelievre

We attempt to unveil the fine structure of volatility feedback effects in the context of general quadratic autoregressive (QARCH) models, which assume that today's volatility can be expressed as a general quadratic form of the past daily…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-05-28 Rémy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper proposes an innovative threshold measurement equation to be employed in a Realized-GARCH framework. The proposed framework incorporates a nonlinear threshold regression specification to consider the leverage effect and model the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-11-01 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach

This paper investigates the time-varying impacts of international macroeconomic uncertainty shocks. We use a global vector autoregressive specification with drifting coefficients and factor stochastic volatility in the errors to model six…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-12-18 Michael Pfarrhofer

We describe the fully gauge invariant cosmological perturbation equations in teleparallel gravity by using the gauge covariant version of the Stewart lemma for obtaining the variations in tetrad perturbations. In teleparallel theory,…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2016-05-31 A. Behboodi , S. Akhshabi , K. Nozari

We study the asymptotic properties of the GLS estimator in multivariate regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors. We derive Wald statistics for linear restrictions and assess their performance. The statistics remains robust…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-19 Koichiro Moriya , Akihiko Noda

The Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement advocates the use of an 'effective number of degrees of freedom' for the calculation of an interval of measurement uncertainty. However, it does not describe how this number is to be…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-11-05 R. Willink , B. D. Hall

The Generalized Pareto (GP) and Generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions play an important role in extreme value analyses, as models for threshold excesses and block maxima respectively. For each of these distributions we consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-02 Paul J. Northrop , Nicolas Attalides

Volatility clustering is an important characteristic that has a significant effect on the behavior of stock markets. However, designing robust models for accurate prediction of future volatilities of stock prices is a very challenging…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-11 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab , Abhishek Dutta

Ranking data are frequently obtained nowadays but there are still scarce methods for treating these data when temporally observed. The present paper contributes to this topic by proposing and developing novel models for handling time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Luiza Piancastelli , Wagner Barreto-Souza

We offer a general Bayes theoretic framework to derive posterior contraction rates under a hierarchical prior design: the first-step prior serves to assess the model selection uncertainty, and the second-step prior quantifies the prior…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

Gaussian graphical models typically assume a homogeneous structure across all subjects, which is often restrictive in applications. In this article, we propose a weighted pseudo-likelihood approach for graphical modeling which allows…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-17 Sutanoy Dasgupta , Peng Zhao , Jacob Helwig , Prasenjit Ghosh , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

Medical studies for chronic disease are often interested in the relation between longitudinal risk factor profiles and individuals' later life disease outcomes. These profiles may typically be subject to intermediate structural changes due…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Sandra Keizer , Zhuozhao Zhan , Vasan S. Ramachandran , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

In this work the spontaneous symmetry breaking in certain nonlinear theories with second-class constraints is explored. Using the Dirac's method we perform an analysis of the constraints and the counting of the degrees of freedom. The…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2022-09-14 C. A. Escobar , Román Linares

This paper introduces a new model for panel data with Markov-switching GARCH effects. The model incorporates a series-specific hidden Markov chain process that drives the GARCH parameters. To cope with the high-dimensionality of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-21 Roberto Casarin , Mauro Costantini , Anthony Osuntuyi

In this paper, we analyze the time-series of minute price returns on the Bitcoin market through the statistical models of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) family. Several mathematical models have been…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-01 Irena Barjašić , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Model degrees of freedom ($\df$) is a fundamental concept in statistics because it quantifies the flexibility of a fitting procedure and is indispensable in model selection. To investigate the gap between $\df$ and the number of independent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-23 Lijun Wang , Hongyu Zhao , Xiaodan Fan

A general class of time-varying regression models is considered in this paper. We estimate the regression coefficients by using local linear M-estimation. For these estimators, weak Bahadur representations are obtained and are used to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-09 Sayar Karmakar , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu