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Between February 14, 2019 and March 4, 2019, a terrorist attack in Pulwama, Kashmir followed by retaliatory airstrikes led to rising tensions between India and Pakistan, two nuclear-armed countries. In this work, we examine polarizing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-07-30 Aman Tyagi , Anjalie Field , Priyank Lathwal , Yulia Tsvetkov , Kathleen M. Carley

This paper addresses polarization quantification, particularly as it pertains to the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the US Supreme Court and his subsequent confirmation with the narrowest margin since 1881. Republican (GOP) and Democratic…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-01-08 Kareem Darwish

Opinion polarization is a ubiquitous phenomenon in opinion dynamics. In contrast to the traditional consensus oriented group decision making (GDM) framework, this paper proposes a framework with the co-evolution of both opinions and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-05-18 Qingxing Dong , Xin Zhou

One of the hallmarks of a free and fair society is the ability to conduct a peaceful and seamless transfer of power from one leader to another. Democratically, this is measured in a citizen population's trust in the electoral system of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-02-04 Ashok Deb , Luca Luceri , Adam Badawy , Emilio Ferrara

Democracies employ elections at various scales to select officials at the corresponding levels of administration. The geographical distribution of political opinion, the policy issues delegated to each level, and the multilevel interactions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-03 Sihao Huang , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Andrew Gelman

From the 2016 U.S. presidential election to the 2021 Capitol riots to the spread of misinformation related to COVID-19, many have blamed social media for today's deeply divided society. Recent advances in machine learning for signed…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Zexi Huang , Arlei Silva , Ambuj Singh

The form of political polarization where citizens develop strongly negative attitudes towards out-party policies and members has become increasingly prominent across many democracies. Economic hardship and social inequality, as well as…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-12 Alexander J. Stewart , Joshua B. Plotkin , Nolan McCarty

This paper studies the evolution of the distribution of opinions in a population of individuals in which there exist two distinct subgroups of highly-committed, well-connected opinion leaders endowed with a strong convincing power. Each…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Nino Boccara

Ensuring legislative accountability in multi-party systems requires quantitative tools that reveal actual voting behavior beyond formal party affiliations. We present a network-based framework for analyzing parliamentary dynamics at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-05 Francesca Collu , Antonio Scala , Emilia La Nave

Turkey hosts almost 3.5M refugees and has to face a humanitarian emergency of unprecedented levels. We use mobile phone data to map the mobility patterns of both Turkish and Syrian refugees, and use these patterns to build data-driven…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-01-15 Paolo Bosetti , Piero Poletti , Massimo Stella , Bruno Lepri , Stefano Merler , Manlio De Domenico

The analysis of social networks enables the understanding of social interactions, polarisation of ideas, and the spread of information and therefore plays an important role in society. We use Twitter data - as it is a popular venue for the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Caroline Pena , Pádraig MacCarron , David J. P. O'Sullivan

Using language models, we analyze a sample of 67 million tweets and 30 million Reddit comments referencing a set of 215 political entities from 2010-2023 from partisan users, journalists, and politicians. Our analysis indicates outgroup…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Suyash Fulay , Deb Roy

In democracies, major policy decisions typically require some form of majority or consensus, so elites must secure mass support to govern. Historically, elites could shape support only through limited instruments like schooling and mass…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-04 Nadav Kunievsky

Content on Twitter's home timeline is selected and ordered by personalization algorithms. By consistently ranking certain content higher, these algorithms may amplify some messages while reducing the visibility of others. There's been…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-05-18 Ferenc Huszár , Sofia Ira Ktena , Conor O'Brien , Luca Belli , Andrew Schlaikjer , Moritz Hardt

Polarization, declining trust, and wavering support for democratic norms are pressing threats to U.S. democracy. Exposure to verified and quality news may lower individual susceptibility to these threats and make citizens more resilient to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Hadi Askari , Anshuman Chhabra , Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg , Michael Heseltine , Magdalena Wojcieszak

According to the Eurobarometer report about EU media use of May 2018, the number of European citizens who consult on-line social networks for accessing information is considerably increasing. In this work we analyze approximately $10^6$…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-01-03 Carolina Becatti , Guido Caldarelli , Renaud Lambiotte , Fabio Saracco

News articles of varying degrees of truthfulness and political alignment, and their influences on the political opinions of the media consumers are modeled as a Bayesian network incorporating a mixture of ideas from dual-reasoning models of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-06-18 In-Ho Yi

It is widely believed that society is becoming increasingly polarized around important issues, a dynamic that does not align with common mathematical models of opinion formation in social networks. In particular, measures of polarization…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Christopher Musco , Indu Ramesh , Johan Ugander , R. Teal Witter

Digital technologies can augment civic participation by facilitating the expression of detailed political preferences. Yet, digital participation efforts often rely on methods optimized for elections involving a few candidates. Here we…

We introduce a simple, geometric model of opinion polarization. It is a model of political persuasion, as well as marketing and advertising, utilizing social values. It focuses on the interplay between different topics and persuasion…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-26 Jan Hązła , Yan Jin , Elchanan Mossel , Govind Ramnarayan