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相关论文: Minimax designs for causal effects in temporal exp…

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Researchers are often challenged with assessing the impact of an intervention on an outcome of interest in situations where the intervention is non-randomised, the intervention is only applied to one or few units, the intervention is…

Baseline covariates in randomized experiments are often used in the estimation of treatment effects, for example, when estimating treatment effects within covariate-defined subgroups. In practice, however, covariate values may be missing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-29 Gauri Kamat , Jerome P. Reiter

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

I study the minimax-optimal design for a two-arm controlled experiment where conditional mean outcomes may vary in a given set. When this set is permutation symmetric, the optimal design is complete randomization, and using a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-08 Nathan Kallus

Controlled experiments are widely used in many applications to investigate the causal relationship between input factors and experimental outcomes. A completely randomized design is usually used to randomly assign treatment levels to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yiou Li , Lulu Kang , Xiao Huang

The real-world testing of decisions made using causal machine learning models is an essential prerequisite for their successful application. We focus on evaluating and improving contextual treatment assignment decisions: these are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Desi R. Ivanova , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Adam Foster

Background: Adaptive interventions provide a guide for using ongoing information about individuals to decide whether and how to modify the type, amount, delivery modality, or timing of treatment, to improve intervention effectiveness while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 John J. Dziak , Inbal Nahum-Shani

Mendelian randomization is an instrumental variable method that utilizes genetic information to investigate the causal effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome. In most cases, the exposure changes over time. Understanding the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Haodong Tian , Ashish Patel , Stephen Burgess

Randomized experimentation (also known as A/B testing or bucket testing) is widely used in the internet industry to measure the metric impact obtained by different treatment variants. A/B tests identify the treatment variant showing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Ye Tu , Kinjal Basu , Cyrus DiCiccio , Romil Bansal , Preetam Nandy , Padmini Jaikumar , Shaunak Chatterjee

Conditioning on variables affected by treatment can induce post-treatment bias when estimating causal effects. Although this suggests that researchers should measure potential moderators before administering the treatment in an experiment,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-24 Matthew Blackwell , Jacob R. Brown , Sophie Hill , Kosuke Imai , Teppei Yamamoto

Although randomized controlled trials have long been regarded as the ``gold standard'' for evaluating treatment effects, there is no natural prevention from post-treatment events. For example, non-compliance makes the actual treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Qinqing Liu , Xiang Peng , Tao Zhang , Yuhao Deng

Micro-randomized trials are commonly conducted for optimizing mobile health interventions such as push notifications for behavior change. In analyzing such trials, causal excursion effects are often of primary interest, and their estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-19 Yihan Bao , Lauren Bell , Elizabeth Williamson , Claire Garnett , Tianchen Qian

Randomized trials of infectious disease interventions, such as vaccines, often focus on groups of connected or potentially interacting individuals. When the pathogen of interest is transmissible between study subjects, interference may…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Daniel J. Eck , Olga Morozova , Forrest W. Crawford

In large observational studies, the case-cohort design is commonly used to reduce the cost associated with covariate measurement. For survival outcomes, literature has suggested that the restricted mean survival time (RMST) be a more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Andy Ni , Wei-En Lu , Bo Lu

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Time plays a fundamental role in causal analyses, where the goal is to quantify the effect of a specific treatment on future outcomes. In a randomized experiment, times of treatment, and when outcomes are observed, are typically well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-19 Guillaume W. Basse , Alexander Volfovsky , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Crossover designs randomly assign each unit to receive a sequence of treatments. By comparing outcomes within the same unit, these designs can effectively eliminate between-unit variation and facilitate the identification of both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

This paper considers the identification of treatment effects on conditional transition probabilities. We show that even under random assignment only the instantaneous average treatment effect is point identified. Since treated and control…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2017-09-27 Johan Vikström , Geert Ridder , Martin Weidner

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become increasingly important in many fields. In this paper we study distributions and quantiles of individual treatment effects to provide a more comprehensive and robust understanding of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Zhe Chen , Xinran Li

Time-series experiments, also called switchback experiments or N-of-1 trials, play increasingly important roles in modern applications in medical and industrial areas. Under the potential outcomes framework, recent research has studied…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Zhexiao Lin , Peng Ding