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Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Influenza is an infectious disease with the potential to become a pandemic, and hence, forecasting its prevalence is an important undertaking for planning an effective response. Research has found that web search activity can be used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-27 Michael Morris , Peter Hayes , Ingemar J. Cox , Vasileios Lampos

We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time ("nowcast") and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from multiple data sources including: Google searches, Twitter microblogs,…

Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Shihao Yang , Mauricio Santillana , S. C. Kou

Google Trends reports how frequently specific queries are searched on Google over time. It is widely used in research and industry to gain early insights into public interest. However, its data generation mechanism introduces missing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Candice Djorno , Mauricio Santillana , Shihao Yang

Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

For epidemics control and prevention, timely insights of potential hot spots are invaluable. Alternative to traditional epidemic surveillance, which often lags behind real time by weeks, big data from the Internet provide important…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-25 Shihao Yang , Shaoyang Ning , S. C. Kou

So far, Google Trend data have been used for influenza surveillance in many European and American countries; however, there are few attempts to apply the low-cost surveillance method in Asian developing countries. To investigate the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-12-11 Xichuan Zhou , Qin Li , Han Zhao , Shengli Li , Lei Yu , Fang Tang , Shengdong Hu , Guojun Li , Yujie Feng

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

The search engine based on influenza monitoring system has been widely applied in many European and American countries. However, there are not any correlative researches reported for African developing countries. Especially, the countries…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-11-18 Shengli Li , Xichuan Zhou

Epidemiological early warning systems for dengue fever rely on up-to-date epidemiological data to forecast future incidence. However, epidemiological data typically requires time to be available, due to the application of time-consuming…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-05-23 Julio Albinati , Wagner Meira , Gisele L. Pappa , Mauro Teixeira , Cecilia Marques-Toledo

Influenza viruses mutate rapidly and can pose a threat to public health, especially to those in vulnerable groups. Throughout history, influenza A viruses have caused pandemics between different species. It is important to identify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Yanhua Xu , Dominik Wojtczak

Influenza remains a significant burden on health systems. Effective responses rely on the timely understanding of the magnitude and the evolution of an outbreak. For monitoring purposes, data on severe cases of influenza in England are…

Seasonal influenza epidemics cause consistent, considerable, widespread loss annually in terms of economic burden, morbidity, and mortality. With access to accurate and reliable forecasts of a current or upcoming influenza epidemic's…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-02-17 Logan C. Brooks , David C. Farrow , Sangwon Hyun , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Roni Rosenfeld

We introduce the use of a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) for influenza prediction at the state- and city-level in the US, and experiment with the inclusion of real-time flu-related Internet search data. We find that a GRU has lower prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-14 Emily L. Aiken , Andre T. Nguyen , Mauricio Santillana

This paper presents a predictive model for Influenza-Like-Illness, based on Twitter traffic. We gather data from Twitter based on a set of keywords used in the Influenza wikipedia page, and perform feature selection over all words used in 3…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Katerina Katsani-Geronymaki , Polyvios Pratikakis

Infectious diseases are one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality around the world; thus, forecasting their impact is crucial for planning an effective response strategy. According to the Centers for Disease Control and…

We provide a brief technical description of an online platform for disease monitoring, titled as the Flu Detector (fludetector.cs.ucl.ac.uk). Flu Detector, in its current version (v.0.5), uses either Twitter or Google search data in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-12-19 Vasileios Lampos
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