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Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

This paper develops a Bayesian control chart for the percentiles of the Weibull distribution, when both its in-control and out-of-control parameters are unknown. The Bayesian approach enhances parameter estimates for small sample sizes that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-06 Pasquale Erto , Giuliana Pallotta , Christina M. Mastrangelo

The generalized extreme value distribution and its particular case, the Gumbel extreme value distribution, are widely applied for extreme value analysis. The Gumbel distribution has certain drawbacks because it is a non-heavy-tailed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-12 E. C. Pinheiro , S. L. P. Ferrari

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

Weibull distribution has received a wide range of applications in engineering and science. The utility and usefulness of an estimator is highly subject to the field of practitioner's study. In practice users looking for their desired…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-18 Sahar Sadani , Kamel Abdollahnezhad , Mahdi Teimouri , Vahid Ranjbar

In this paper we introduce a new method to add a parameter to a family of distributions. The additional parameter is completely studied and a full description of its behaviour in the distribution is given. We obtain several mathematical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-03-10 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Alexandre B. Simas

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

Convolutions of long-tailed and subexponential distributions play a major role in the analysis of many stochastic systems. We study these convolutions, proving some important new results through a simple and coherent approach, and showing…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Stan Zachary

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

We consider deep neural networks in a Bayesian framework with a prior distribution sampling the network weights at random. Following a recent idea of Agapiou and Castillo (2023), who show that heavy-tailed prior distributions achieve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-16 Ismaël Castillo , Paul Egels

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We study the height and width of a Galton--Watson tree with offspring distribution B satisfying E(B)=1, 0 < Var(B) < infinity, conditioned on having exactly n nodes. Under this conditioning, we derive sub-Gaussian tail bounds for both the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-22 Louigi Addario-Berry , Luc Devroye , Svante Janson

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Recently, Lee and Cha (2015, `On two generalized classes of discrete bivariate distributions', {\it American Statistician}, 221 - 230) proposed two general classes of discrete bivariate distributions. They have discussed some general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-01 Debasis Kundu , Vahid Nekoukhou

We develop an econometric framework integrating heavy-tailed Student's $t$ distributions with behavioral probability weighting while preserving infinite divisibility. Using 432{,}752 observations across 86 assets (2004--2024), we…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-21 Akash Deep , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We introduce the \textsc{Tailed-Uniform} proposal distribution for generating training simulations in simulation-based inference. Instead of sampling parameters uniformly within bounded regions, we extend the distribution beyond prior…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-01-27 Chaipat Tirapongprasert , Matthew Ho

It has repeatedly been observed that loss minimization by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) leads to heavy-tailed distributions of neural network parameters. Here, we analyze a continuous diffusion approximation of SGD, called homogenized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Zhe Jiao , Martin Keller-Ressel

We study in this report the so-called Strictly Subgaussian (SSub) random variables (r.v.), which form a very interest subclass of Subgaussian (Sub) r.v., and obtain the exact exponential bounds for tail of distribution for sums of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-17 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-27 Peter Tankov