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We develop a scalable class of models for latent variable estimation using composite Gaussian processes, with a focus on derivative Gaussian processes. We jointly model multiple data sources as outputs to improve the accuracy of latent…

The log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) is a popular point process for modeling non-interacting spatial point patterns. This paper extends the LGCP model to handle data exhibiting fundamentally different behaviors in different subregions of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-03 Anders Hildeman , David Bolin , Jonas Wallin , Janine B. Illian

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

In this paper, we develop a method to model and estimate several, _dependent_ count processes, using granular data. Specifically, we develop a multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities to jointly model the arrival process of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Gregory Clive Taylor , Bernard Wong , Xinda Yang

It is often assumed that events cannot occur simultaneously when modelling data with point processes. This raises a problem as real-world data often contains synchronous observations due to aggregation or rounding, resulting from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Leigh Shlomovich , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall Adams

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Parameter estimation is a major challenge in computational modeling of biological processes. This is especially the case in image-based modeling where the inherently quantitative output of the model is measured against image data, which is…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-07-27 Diana Barac , Michael D. Multerer , Dagmar Iber

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

We propose a hierarchical log Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) for point patterns, where a set of points x affects another set of points y but not vice versa. We use the model to investigate the effect of large trees to the locations of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Mikko Kuronen , Aila Särkkä , Matti Vihola , Mari Myllymäki

Robust estimation and variable selection procedure are developed for the extended t-process regression model with functional data. Statistical properties such as consistency of estimators and predictions are obtained. Numerical studies show…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-20 Zhanfeng Wang , Kai Li , Jian Qing Shi

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

Aggregated data is commonplace in areas such as epidemiology and demography. For example, census data for a population is usually given as averages defined over time periods or spatial resolutions (cities, regions or countries). In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-20 Fariba Yousefi , Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We propose an active set selection framework for Gaussian process classification for cases when the dataset is large enough to render its inference prohibitive. Our scheme consists of a two step alternating procedure of active set update…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-06-24 Ricardo Henao , Ole Winther

For point patterns observed in natura, spatial heterogeneity is more the rule than the exception. In numerous applications, this can be mathematically handled by the flexible class of log Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs); in brief, a LGCP is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-10 Jiří Dvořák , Jesper Møller , Tomáš Mrkvička , Samuel Soubeyrand

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

This work considers estimation and forecasting in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional count time series model constructed from a transformation of a latent Gaussian dynamic factor series. The estimation of the latent model parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Younghoon Kim , Marie-Christine Düker , Zachary F. Fisher , Vladas Pipiras

Point processes in time have a wide range of applications that include the claims arrival process in insurance or the analysis of queues in operations research. Due to advances in technology, such samples of point processes are increasingly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-14 Álvaro Gajardo , Hans-Georg Müller

The log-Gaussian Cox process is a flexible and popular class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and space-time dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-24 Shinichiro Shirota , Sudipto Banerjee