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We consider a two-dimensional time-inhomogeneous birth-death process to model the time-evolution of fake news in a population. The two components of the process represent, respectively, (i) the number of individuals (say spreaders) who know…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-13 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Paola Paraggio

Recently, a first step was made by the authors towards a systematic investigation of the effect of reaction-step-size noise - uncertainty in the step size of the reaction - on the dynamics of stochastic populations. This was done by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-12-21 Shay Be'er , Michael Assaf

It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…

生物物理 · 物理学 2019-09-11 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

We study evolutionary game dynamics in a well-mixed populations of finite size, N. A well-mixed population means that any two individuals are equally likely to interact. In particular we consider the average abundances of two strategies, A…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-02-24 Tibor Antal , Martin A. Nowak , Arne Traulsen

A one dimensional non-equilibrium stochastic model is proposed where each site of the lattice is occupied by a particle, which may be of type A or B. The time evolution of the model occurs through three processes: autocatalytic generation…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Wellington G. Dantas , Armando Ticona , Jurgen F. Stilck

Birth-death processes form a natural class where ideas and results on large deviations can be tested. In this paper, we derive a large deviation principle under the assumption that the rate of a jump down (death) is growing asymptotically…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-21 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

We consider a particle moving in continuous time as a Markov jump process; its discrete chain is given by an ordinary random walk on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ , and its jump rate at $({\mathbf x},t)$ is given by a fixed function $\varphi$ of the…

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

We design a stochastic individual-based model structured in energy, for single species consuming an external resource, where populations are characterized by a typical energy at birth in $\mathbb{R}^{*}_{+}$. The resource is maintained at a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-27 Sylvain Billiard , Virgile Brodu , Nicolas Champagnat , Coralie Fritsch

Consider a birth and death chain to model the number of types of a given virus. Each type gives birth to a new type at rate $\lambda$ and dies at rate 1. Each type is also assigned a fitness. When a death occurs either the least fit type…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-29 J. T. Cox , R. B. Schinazi

A stochastic model for behavioral changes by imitative pair interactions of individuals is developed. `Microscopic' assumptions on the specific form of the imitative processes lead to a stochastic version of the game dynamical equations.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

We develop a theory of first passage processes in stochastic non-equilibrium systems of birth-death type using two closely related epidemiological models as examples. Our method employs the probability generating function technique in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-08-06 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

We consider stochastic processes indexed by the vertices of an infinite binary tree having a simple recursive structure. The value at any vertex is some fixed function of the values at the two daughter vertices together with some…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jon Warren

Graph structures offer a versatile framework for representing diverse patterns in nature and complex systems, applicable across domains like molecular chemistry, social networks, and transportation systems. While diffusion models have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Adrien Carrel

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

The growth of a population divided among spatial sites, with migration between the sites, is sometimes modelled by a product of random matrices, with each diagonal elements representing the growth rate in a given time period, and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-05-04 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar

Spatial birth and death processes are obtained as solutions of a system of stochastic equations. The processes are required to be locally finite, but may involve an infinite population over the full (noncompact) type space. Conditions are…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Nancy L. Garcia , Thomas G. Kurtz