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Density modeling is notoriously difficult for high dimensional data. One approach to the problem is to search for a lower dimensional manifold which captures the main characteristics of the data. Recently, the Gaussian Process Latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-07-14 Hannes Nickisch , Carl Edward Rasmussen

The Gaussian process state space model (GPSSM) is a non-linear dynamical system, where unknown transition and/or measurement mappings are described by GPs. Most research in GPSSMs has focussed on the state estimation problem, i.e.,…

Scientific and engineering problems often require the use of artificial intelligence to aid understanding and the search for promising designs. While Gaussian processes (GP) stand out as easy-to-use and interpretable learners, they have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-01 Liwei Wang , Suraj Yerramilli , Akshay Iyer , Daniel Apley , Ping Zhu , Wei Chen

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

This paper develops the theoretical framework and the equations of a new robust Generalized Maximum-likelihood-type Unscented Kalman Filter (GM-UKF) that is able to suppress observation and innovation outliers while filtering out…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-02 Junbo Zhao , Lamine Mili

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

This paper presents an approach for simultaneous estimation of the state and unknown parameters in a sequential data assimilation framework. The state augmentation technique, in which the state vector is augmented by the model parameters,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Chris Jones

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

We investigate active learning in Gaussian Process state-space models (GPSSM). Our problem is to actively steer the system through latent states by determining its inputs such that the underlying dynamics can be optimally learned by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 Hon Sum Alec Yu , Dingling Yao , Christoph Zimmer , Marc Toussaint , Duy Nguyen-Tuong

Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state-space models is computationally challenging. For many spatiotemporal systems, however, prior knowledge about the dependency structure of state variables is available. We leverage this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-09 Fiona Lippert , Bart Kranstauber , E. Emiel van Loon , Patrick Forré

Understanding how the collective activity of neural populations relates to computation and ultimately behavior is a key goal in neuroscience. To this end, statistical methods which describe high-dimensional neural time series in terms of…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-01-14 Amber Hu , David Zoltowski , Aditya Nair , David Anderson , Lea Duncker , Scott Linderman

A discrete-time conditional Gaussian Koopman network (CGKN) is developed in this work to learn surrogate models that can perform efficient state forecast and data assimilation (DA) for high-dimensional complex dynamical systems, e.g.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-19 Chuanqi Chen , Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Jin-Long Wu

Unlike their conventional use as estimators of probability density functions in reinforcement learning (RL), this paper introduces a novel function-approximation role for Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) as direct surrogates for Q-function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Minh Vu , Konstantinos Slavakis

In this work we study the non-parametric reconstruction of spatio-temporal dynamical Gaussian processes (GPs) via GP regression from sparse and noisy data. GPs have been mainly applied to spatial regression where they represent one of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Marco Todescato , Andrea Carron , Ruggero Carli , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Luca Schenato

Predicting the behavior of a dynamical system from noisy observations of its past outputs is a classical problem encountered across engineering and science. For linear systems with Gaussian inputs, the Kalman filter -- the best linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Usman Akram , Haris Vikalo

We propose a novel probabilistic framework, termed LVM-GP, for uncertainty quantification in solving forward and inverse partial differential equations (PDEs) with noisy data. The core idea is to construct a stochastic mapping from the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-31 Xiaodong Feng , Ling Guo , Xiaoliang Wan , Hao Wu , Tao Zhou , Wenwen Zhou

Context-aware recommender systems (CARS) have gained increasing attention due to their ability to utilize contextual information. Compared to traditional recommender systems, CARS are, in general, able to generate more accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-23 Wei Huang , Richard Yi Da Xu

Consistent state estimation is challenging, especially under the epistemic uncertainties arising from learned (nonlinear) dynamic and observation models. In this work, we propose a set-based estimation algorithm, named Gaussian…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-28 Shen Li , Theodoros Stouraitis , Michael Gienger , Sethu Vijayakumar , Julie A. Shah

Climate change poses significant challenges for accurate climate modeling due to the complexity and variability of non-Gaussian climate systems. To address the complexities of non-Gaussian systems in climate modeling, this thesis proposes a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-28 Yunjin Tong