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The Kalman filter (KF) is one of the most widely used tools for data assimilation and sequential estimation. In this work, we show that the state estimates from the KF in a standard linear dynamical system setting are equivalent to those…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-04 Maria Jahja , David C. Farrow , Roni Rosenfeld , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Engineering disciplines often rely on extensive simulations to ensure that structures are designed to withstand harsh conditions while avoiding over-engineering for unlikely scenarios. Assessments such as Serviceability Limit State (SLS)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Vegard Flovik , Sebastian Winter , Christian Agrell

This work attempts to approximate a linear Gaussian system with a finite-state hidden Markov model (HMM), which is found useful in solving sophisticated event-based state estimation problems. An indirect modeling approach is developed,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-10 Kaikai Zheng , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSMs) are a non-parametric model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They become increasingly popular in data-driven modeling approaches, i.e. when no first-order physics-based models are…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric method for state estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems, which evolve according to gradient flows with isotropic diffusion. We combine diffusion maps, a manifold…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-02-26 Tal Shnitzer , Ronen Talmon , Jean-Jacques Slotine

A data-driven investigation of the flow around a high-rise building is performed combining heterogeneous experimental samples and RANS CFD. The coupling is performed using techniques based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), including…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-01-27 Lucas Villanueva , Miguel Martinez Valero , Anina Sarkic Glumac , Marcello Meldi

Conventional Bayesian estimation requires an accurate stochastic model of a system. However, this requirement is not always met in many practical cases where the system is not completely known or may differ from the assumed model. For such…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-05 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) is a popular approach to non-linear probabilistic dimensionality reduction. One design choice for the model is the number of latent variables. We present a spike and slab prior for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Zhenwen Dai , James Hensman , Neil Lawrence

The Kalman filter is a fundamental tool for state estimation in dynamical systems. While originally developed for linear Gaussian settings, it has been extended to nonlinear problems through approaches such as the extended and unscented…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-10 Yuan Wu , Sicheng He

Kalman filtering is a classic state estimation technique used in application areas such as signal processing and autonomous control of vehicles. It is now being used to solve problems in computer systems such as controlling the voltage and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-01 Yan Pei , Swarnendu Biswas , Donald S. Fussell , Keshav Pingali

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of flexibility of our approach is a nonparametric observation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-08 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Haroon Mumtaz , Michael Pfarrhofer

Many applications in speech, robotics, finance, and biology deal with sequential data, where ordering matters and recurrent structures are common. However, this structure cannot be easily captured by standard kernel functions. To model such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-06 Maruan Al-Shedivat , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Yunus Saatchi , Zhiting Hu , Eric P. Xing

Vehicle state estimation presents a fundamental challenge for autonomous driving systems, requiring both physical interpretability and the ability to capture complex nonlinear behaviors across diverse operating conditions. Traditional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-17 Farid Mafi , Ladan Khoshnevisan , Mohammad Pirani , Amir Khajepour

Latent Factor Model (LFM) is one of the most successful methods for Collaborative filtering (CF) in the recommendation system, in which both users and items are projected into a joint latent factor space. Base on matrix factorization…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-05-19 Jiansheng Fang , Xiaoqing Zhang , Yan Hu , Yanwu Xu , Ming Yang , Jiang Liu

Computer experiments involving both qualitative and quantitative (QQ) factors have attracted increasing attention. Gaussian process (GP) models have proven effective in this context by choosing specialized covariance functions for QQ…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Linsui Deng , C. F. Jeff Wu

We propose a novel approach to input design for identification of nonlinear state space models. The optimal input sequence is obtained by maximizing a scalar cost function of the Fisher information matrix. Since the Fisher information…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-18 Patricio E. Valenzuela , Johan Dahlin , Cristian R. Rojas , Thomas B. Schön

Accurate estimation of power system dynamics is very important for the enhancement of power system reliability, resilience, security, and stability of power system. With the increasing integration of inverter-based distributed energy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-14 Narayan Bhusal , Mukesh Gautam

We provide a comprehensive overview and tooling for GP modeling with non-Gaussian likelihoods using state space methods. The state space formulation allows for solving one-dimensional GP models in $\mathcal{O}(n)$ time and memory…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-06 Hannes Nickisch , Arno Solin , Alexander Grigorievskiy

Datasets that exhibit non-Gaussian characteristics are common in many fields, while the current modeling framework and available software for non-Gaussian models is limited. We introduce Linear Latent Non-Gaussian Models (LLnGMs), a unified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-02 David Bolin , Xiaotian Jin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin
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