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The lilypond model on a point process in $d$-space is a growth-maximal system of non-overlapping balls centred at the points. We establish central limit theorems for the total volume and the number of components of the lilypond model on a…

概率论 · 数学 2010-08-05 Guenter Last , Mathew D. Penrose

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

We study asymptotic properties of supercritical Galton-Watson (GW) branching processes in the asymptotic where the mean of the offspring distribution approaches 1 from above. We show that the population-size distribution of the GW branching…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Kyoya Uemura , Tomoyuki Obuch , Toshiyuki Tanaka

We consider full counting statistics of spin in matrix product states. In particular, we study the approach to gaussian distribution for magnetization. We derive the asymptotic corrections to the central limit theorem for magnetization…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-09-21 Yifei Shi , Israel Klich

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

The goal of this paper is to analyse the asymptotic behavior of the cycle process and the total number of cycles of weighted and generalized weighted random permutations which are relevant models in physics and which extend the Ewens…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-13 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Dirk Zeindler

It is known that the number of points in the largest cluster of a percolating Poisson process restricted to a large finite box is asymptotically normal. In this note, we establish a rate of convergence for the statement. As each point in…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-08 Tiffany Y. Y. Lo , Aihua Xia

We study point processes that consist of certain centers of point tuples of an underlying Poisson process. Such processes arise in stochastic geometry in the study of exceedances of various functionals describing geometric properties of the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-26 Moritz Otto

We overview results on the topic of Poisson approximation that are missed in existing surveys. The topic of Poisson approximation to the distribution of a sum of integer-valued random variables is presented as well. We do not restrict…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-12 S. Y. Novak

In this paper we prove scalar and sample path large deviation principles for a large class of Poisson cluster processes. As a consequence, we provide a large deviation principle for ergodic Hawkes point processes.

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Charles Bordenave , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We show how a central limit theorem for Poisson model random polygons implies a central limit theorem for uniform model random polygons. To prove this implication, it suffices to show that in the two models, the variables in question have…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-14 John Pardon

We examine a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a strictly increasing sequence of numbers and we prove its Poisson-like limit. Such generalizations might be found in quantum optics with imperfect detection. We…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the distribution of a compound sum of independent random variables, all having the same light-tailed subexponential distribution. The examples of a Poisson and geometric number of summands serve as an…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

This paper discusses infill asymptotics for logistic regression estimators for spatio-temporal point processes whose intensity functions are of log-linear form. We establish strong consistency and asymptotic normality for the parameters of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-26 M. N. M. van Lieshout , C. Lu

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

A common assumption when modeling queuing systems is that arrivals behave like a Poisson process with constant parameter. In practice, however, call arrivals are often observed to be significantly overdispersed. This motivates that in this…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-07 Mariska Heemskerk , Julia Kuhn , Michel Mandjes

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on how the tail behaviour of the mixing…

We consider disjoint and sliding blocks estimators of cluster indices for multivariate, regularly varying time series in the Peak-over-Threshold framework. We aim to provide a complete description of the limiting behaviour of these…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-07 Zaoli Chen , Rafał Kulik