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This paper proposes a generalised and robust multi-factor Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) based Deep Learning (DL) model to forecast electricity load in distribution networks during wildfire seasons. The flexible modelling methods consider data…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-24 Weijia Yang , Sarah N. Sparrow , David C. H. Wallom

Accurate household electricity short-term load forecasting (STLF) is key to future and sustainable energy systems. While various studies have analyzed statistical, machine learning, or deep learning approaches for household electricity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Marcel Meyer , David Zapata , Sascha Kaltenpoth , Oliver Müller

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential tools for understanding the impact of human actions on Earth's climate. One key application of these models is studying extreme weather events, such as heat waves or dry spells, which have…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-04-25 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

In recent decades, European forests have faced an increased incidence of fire disturbances. This phenomenon is likely to persist, given the rising frequency of extreme events expected in the future. Estimating canopy recovery time after…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-30 Eatidal Amin , Cassio F. Dantas , Dino Ienco , Samuel Alleaume , Sandra Luque

Fire is one of the common disasters in daily life. To achieve fast and accurate detection of fires, this paper proposes a detection network called FSDNet (Fire Smoke Detection Network), which consists of a feature extraction module, a fire…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Li Zhu , Jiahui Xiong , Wenxian Wu , Hongyu Yu

Understanding the dynamics and evolution of climate change and associated uncertainties is key for designing robust policy actions. Computer models are key tools in this scientific effort, which have now reached a high level of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Matteo Fontana , Massimo Tavoni , Simone Vantini

Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Haris Mansoor , Sarwan Ali , Imdadullah Khan , Naveed Arshad , Muhammad Asad Khan , Safiullah Faizullah

Assessing the consistency between short-term global temperature trends in observations and climate model projections is a challenging problem. While climate models capture many processes governing short-term climate fluctuations, they are…

Time-series data processing is an important component of many real-world applications, such as health monitoring, environmental monitoring, and digital agriculture. These applications collect distinct windows of sensor data (e.g., few…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-12 Dina Hussein , Lubah Nelson , Ganapati Bhat

Data likelihood of fire detection is the probability of the observed detection outcome given the state of the fire spread model. We derive fire detection likelihood of satellite data as a function of the fire arrival time on the model grid.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-16 James Haley , Angel Farguell Caus , Adam K. Kochanski , Sher Schranz , Jan Mandel

It is crucial for the service provider to comprehend and forecast mobile traffic in large-scale cellular networks in order to govern and manage mechanisms for base station placement, load balancing, and network planning. The purpose of this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-22 Ufuk Uyan , M. Tugberk Isyapar , Mahiye Uluyagmur Ozturk

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) is the prediction of key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation on the 2-week to 2-month time horizon. Skillful SSF would have substantial societal value in areas such as agricultural…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-10-12 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Laurie Trenary , Benjamin A Cash , Timothy DelSole , Arindam Banerjee

Although we have made progress in understanding disease spread in complex systems with non-Poissonian activity patterns, current models still fail to capture the full range of recovery time distributions. In this paper, we propose an…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Jiexi Tang , Yichao Yao , Meiling Xie , Minyu Feng

We study short-horizon forecasting of weekly terrorism incident counts using the Global Terrorism Database (GTD, 1970--2016). We build a reproducible pipeline with fixed time-based splits and evaluate a Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) against…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Oluwasegun Adegoke

MEDEAS (Modelling the Energy Development under Environmental And Socioeconomic constraint) World is a new global-aggregated energy-economy-environmental model, which runs from 1995 to 2050. In this work, we tested the MEDEAS world model to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-07-31 Gianluca Martelloni , Francesca Di Patti , Ilaria Perissi , Sara Falsini , Ugo Bardi

Proportional fair scheduling (PFS) has been adopted as a standard solution for fair resource allocation in modern wireless cellular networks. With the emergence of heterogeneous networks with widely varying user loads, it is of great…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-01-23 Fei Liu , Janne Riihijärvi , Marina Petrova

The global occurrence, scale, and frequency of wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystem services and human livelihoods. To effectively quantify and attribute the antecedent conditions for wildfires, a thorough understanding of Earth…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-25 Ilektra Karasante , Lazaro Alonso , Ioannis Prapas , Akanksha Ahuja , Nuno Carvalhais , Ioannis Papoutsis

Currently available satellite active fire detection products from the VIIRS and MODIS instruments on polar-orbiting satellites produce detection squares in arbitrary locations. There is no global fire/no fire map, no detection under cloud…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-11-18 Jan Mandel , Adam K. Kochanski , Martin Vejmelka , Jonathan D. Beezley

Wildfire is one of the biggest disasters that frequently occurs on the west coast of the United States. Many efforts have been made to understand the causes of the increases in wildfire intensity and frequency in recent years. In this work,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-07 Tanqiu Jiang , Sidhant K. Bendre , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

Improving road safety is hugely important with the number of deaths on the world's roads remaining unacceptably high; an estimated 1.35 million people die each year (WHO, 2020). Current practice for treating collision hotspots is almost…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Nicola Hewett , Andrew Golightly , Lee Fawcett , Neil Thorpe
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