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We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

Cylindrical data frequently arise across various scientific disciplines, including meteorology (e.g., wind direction and speed), oceanography (e.g., marine current direction and speed or wave heights), ecology (e.g., telemetry), and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Francesca Labanca , Anna Gottard , Nadja Klein

The concept of "stochastic precedence" between two real-valued random variables has often emerged in different applied frameworks. In this paper we consider a slightly more general, and completely natural, concept of stochastic precedence…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-17 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Fantozzi , Fabio Spizzichino

Conditional copula models allow dependence structures to vary with observed covariates while preserving a separation between marginal behavior and association. We study the uniform asymptotic behavior of kernel-weighted local likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Mathias Nthiani Muia

Positive dependencies have been compared in the literature under rather strong assumptions such as equality of conditional distributions, exchangeability, or stationarity. We establish supermodular ordering results for distributions that…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-11 Jonathan Ansari , Moritz Ritter

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-29 David Azriel

Over the last couple of decades, several copula based methods have been proposed in the literature to test for the independence among several random variables. But these existing tests are not invariant under monotone transformations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-15 Angshuman Roy , Anil Ghosh , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

In this manuscript, we consider a finite multivariate nonparametric mixture model where the dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using the copula device. Pseudo EM stochastic algorithms were recently proposed to estimate all…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-12-14 Michael Levine , Gildas Mazo

We present general principles underlying analysis of the dependence of random variables (outputs) on deterministic conditions (inputs). Random outputs recorded under mutually exclusive input values are labeled by these values and considered…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-01-27 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

We consider multivariate copula-based stationary time-series under Gaussian subordination. Observed time series are subordinated to long-range dependent Gaussian processes and characterized by arbitrary marginal copula distributions. First…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-16 Yusufu Simayi

We propose a new copula model for replicated multivariate spatial data. Unlike classical models that assume multivariate normality of the data, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that some factors exist that affect the joint…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-12 Pavel Krupskii , Marc G. Genton

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva

A regression model is proposed for the analysis of an ordinal response variable depending on a set of multiple covariates containing ordinal and potentially other variables. The proportional odds model (McCullagh (1980)) is used for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-25 Javier Espinosa , Christian Hennig

Vine copulas are a flexible tool for multivariate non-Gaussian distributions. For data from an observational study where the explanatory variables and response variables are measured together, a proposed vine copula regression method uses…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Bo Chang , Harry Joe

This paper introduces a new class of observation driven dynamic models. The time evolving parameters are driven by innovations of copula form. The resulting models can be made strictly stationary and the innovation term is typically chosen…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-05 Landan Zhang , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-15 Barnabas Poczos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Jeff Schneider

Simplified vine copulas are flexible tools over standard multivariate distributions for modeling and understanding different dependence properties in high-dimensional data. Their conditional distributions are of utmost importance, from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Ariane Hanebeck , Özge Şahin , Petra Havlíčková , Claudia Czado

Under a mild condition we give closed-form expressions for copulas of systems that consist of maxima and of minima of subvectors of a given random vector $X$ with continuous marginals. Said expressions appear explicit in the copula of $X$…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-31 Matija Vidmar , Matjaž Omladič

We derive sufficient conditions for the convex and monotonic g-stochastic ordering of diffusion processes under nonlinear g-expectations and g-evaluations. Our approach relies on comparison results for forward-backward stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-13 Sel Ly , Nicolas Privault