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Traditional hypothesis tests for differences between binomial proportions are at risk of being too liberal (Wald test) or overly conservative (Fisher's exact test). This problem is exacerbated in small samples. Regulators favour exact…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-31 Stef Baas , Yaron Racah , Elad Berkman , Sofia S. Villar

Determination of sample size is critical, however not easy to do. Sample size defined as the number of observations in a sample should be big enough to have a high likelihood of detecting a true difference between groups. Practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-28 Hoi-Jeong Lim

Nonparametric tests for functional data are a challenging class of tests to work with because of the potentially high dimensional nature of the data. One of the main challenges for considering rank-based tests, like the Mann-Whitney or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Mark J. Meyer

In modern scientific research, small-scale studies with limited participants are increasingly common. However, interpreting individual outcomes can be challenging, making it standard practice to combine data across studies using random…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Lucas Kania , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

A new family of nonparametric statistics, the r-statistics, is introduced. It consists of counting the number of records of the cumulative sum of the sample. The single-sample r-statistic is almost as powerful as Student's t-statistic for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-14 Damien Challet

Importance sampling is a common technique for Monte Carlo approximation, including Monte Carlo approximation of p-values. Here it is shown that a simple correction of the usual importance sampling p-values creates valid p-values, meaning…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-04-12 Matthew T. Harrison

Most clinical trials conducted in drug development contain multiple endpoints in order to collectively assess the intended effects of the drug on various disease characteristics. Focusing on the estimation of the global win probability,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-09 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

This paper develops power and sample size formulas for causal inference with time-to-event outcomes. The target estimand is the marginal hazard ratio: the coefficient of a marginal structural Cox proportional hazard model with treatment as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Chengxin Yang , Bo Liu , Fan Li

In genetic association studies, detecting disease-genotype associations is a primary goal. For most diseases, the underlying genetic model is unknown, and we study seven robust test statistics for monotone association. For a given test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-13 Mette Langaas , Øyvind Bakke

In this review, we address the use of Monte Carlo methods for approximating definite integrals of the form $Z = \int L(x) d P(x)$, where $L$ is a target function (often a likelihood) and $P$ a finite measure. We present vertical-likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-24 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

Multiple hypothesis testing is widely used to evaluate scientific studies involving statistical tests. However, for many of these tests, p-values are not available and are thus often approximated using Monte Carlo tests such as permutation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-17 Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

The usual procedure for estimating the significance of a peak in a power spectrum is to calculate the probability of obtaining that value or a larger value by chance (known as the "p-value"), on the assumption that the time series contains…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2009-11-13 P. A. Sturrock , J. D. Scargle

We consider an estimator for the location of a shift in the mean of long-range dependent sequences. The estimation is based on the two-sample Wilcoxon statistic. Consistency and the rate of convergence for the estimated change point are…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-28 Annika Betken

We investigate the power of some common change-point tests as a function of the location of the change-point. The test statistics are maxima of weighted U-statistics, with the CUSUM test and the Wilcoxon change-point test as special…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-04 Herold Dehling , Kata Vuk , Martin Wendler

Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

计算物理 · 物理学 2008-04-14 Jaan Kalda

Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification problems, for a chosen significance level $\varepsilon$, CP…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Javier Abad , Umang Bhatt , Adrian Weller , Giovanni Cherubin

The Mann-Whitney effect is an intuitive measure for discriminating two survival distributions. Here we analyze various inference techniques for this parameter in a two-sample survival setting with independent right-censoring, where the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-26 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

We derive the closed-form restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimator and Kenward-Roger's variance estimator for fixed effects in the mixed effects model for repeated measures (MMRM) when the missing data pattern is monotone. As an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-06 Yongqiang Tang

Allowing for adversarial contamination and heavy tails, we study testing whether the mean of a high-dimensional random vector equals zero. Because standard max-tests based on sample averages are highly non-robust, we propose a max-test…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-12 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

The reproducibility crisis has led to an increasing number of replication studies being conducted. Sample sizes for replication studies are often calculated using conditional power based on the effect estimate from the original study.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Charlotte Micheloud , Leonhard Held