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We consider the Last-Success-Problem with $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables with parameters $p_i>0$. We improve the lower bound provided by F.T. Bruss for the probability of winning and provide an alternative proof to the one given…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-21 J. M. Grau Ribas

There are $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables $I_{k}$ with parameters $p_{k}$ that are observed sequentially. We consider a generalization of the Last-Success-Problem considering $w_{k}$ positive payments if the player successfully…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 Jose Maria Grau ribas

We study a random game in which two players in turn play a fixed number of moves. For each move, there are two possible choices. To each possible outcome of the game we assign a winner in an i.i.d. fashion with a fixed parameter p. In the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-05 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart

Suppose $N$ independent Bernoulli trials are observed sequentially at random times of a mixed binomial process. The task is to maximise, by using a nonanticipating stopping strategy, the probability of stopping at the last success. We focus…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-22 Alexander Gnedin , Zakaria Derbazi

The last success problem is an optimal stopping problem that aims to maximize the probability of stopping on the last success in a sequence of independent $n$ Bernoulli trials. In the classical setting where complete information about the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-24 Toru Yoshinaga , Yasushi Kawase

We consider a game with two players, consisting of a number of rounds, where the first player to win $n$ rounds becomes the overall winner. Who wins each individual round is governed by a certain urn having two types of balls (type 1 and…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Stanislav Volkov , Magnus Wiktorsson

Consider a two-player game repeated N times. Player 1 can choose between two styles (for interpretability, offensive and defensive), whereas Player 2 uses a single fixed style. Let X N\,:= \#wins -\#losses for Player 1 after N games, and…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-20 Jonatha ANSELMI , Bruno Gaujal

Toral introduced so-called cooperative Parrondo games, in which there are N players (3 or more) arranged in a circle. At each turn one player is randomly chosen to play. He plays either game A or game B, depending on the strategy. Game A…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-27 S. N. Ethier , Jiyeon Lee

In the Penney-Ante game, Player I chooses a head/tail string of a predetermined length $n\ge3$. Player II, upon seeing Player I's choice, chooses another head/tail string of the same length. A coin is then tossed repeatedly and the player…

组合数学 · 数学 2021-07-16 Reed Phillips , A. J. Hildebrand

We consider a Bradley-Terry model in random environment where each player faces each other once. More precisely the strengths of the players are assumed to be random and we study the influence of their distributions on the asymptotic number…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-09 Raphael Chetrite , Roland Diel , Matthieu Lerasle

Two players alternate tossing a biased coin where the probability of getting heads is p. The current player is awarded alpha points for tails and alpha+beta for heads. The first player reaching n points wins. For a completely unfair coin…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-15 Robert W. Chen , Burton Rosenberg

Toral introduced so-called cooperative Parrondo games, in which there are N players (3 or more) arranged in a circle. At each turn one player is randomly chosen to play. He plays either game A or game B. Game A results in a win or loss of…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-18 S. N. Ethier , Jiyeon Lee

We introduce a variant of the classic prophet inequality, called \emph{residual prophet inequality} (RPI). In the RPI problem, we consider a finite sequence of $n$ nonnegative independent random values with known distributions, and a known…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Jose Correa , Sebastian Perez-Salazar , Dana Pizarro , Bruno Ziliotto

We consider the permutation analogue of Penney's game for words. Two players, in order, each choose a permutation of length $k\ge3$; then a sequence of independent random values from a continuous distribution is generated, until the…

组合数学 · 数学 2026-04-29 Sergi Elizalde , Yixin Lin

We shall show in this paper that there are experiments which are Bernoulli trials with success probability p > 0.5, and which have the curious feature that it is possible to correctly predict the outcome with probability > p.

其他统计学 · 统计学 2018-01-09 James D. Stein

We study a combinatorial game derived from a problem in the German National Mathematics Competition. In this game, two players take turns removing numbers from a finite set of natural numbers, aiming to satisfy a certain divisibility…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-08-04 Tim Rammenstein

We study a modification of the so-called Parrondo's paradox where a large number of individuals choose the game they want to play by voting. We show that it can be better for the players to vote randomly than to vote according to their own…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-03 L. Dinis , J. M. R. Parrondo

We revisit the game in which each of several players chooses a pattern and then a coin is flipped repeatedly until one of these patterns is generated. In particular, we demonstrate how to compute the probability of any one player winning…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-07 Jan Vrbik , Paul Vrbik

While useful probability bounds for $n$ pairwise independent Bernoulli random variables adding up to at least an integer $k$ have been proposed in the literature, none of these bounds are tight in general. In this paper, we provide several…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-24 Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

For n>=1 let X_n be a vector of n independent Bernoulli random variables. We assume that X_n consists of M "blocks" such that the Bernoulli random variables in block i have success probability p_i. Here M does not depend on n and the size…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-15 Erik Broman , Tim van de Brug , Wouter Kager , Ronald Meester
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