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The optimization of high dimensional functions is a key issue in engineering problems but it frequently comes at a cost that is not acceptable since it usually involves a complex and expensive computer code. Engineers often overcome this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Adrien Spagnol , Rodolphe Le Riche , Sebastien Da Veiga

We propose an unbiased Monte-Carlo estimator for $\mathbb{E}[g(X_{t_1}, \cdots, X_{t_n})]$, where $X$ is a diffusion process defined by a multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation (SDE). The main idea is to start instead from a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-08 Pierre Henry-Labordere , Xiaolu Tan , Nizar Touzi

The Doyle-Fuller-Newman model is arguably the most ubiquitous electrochemical model in lithium-ion battery research. Since it is a highly nonlinear model, its input-output relations are still poorly understood. Researchers therefore often…

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

This paper explores the application of active learning strategies to adaptively learn Sobol indices for global sensitivity analysis. We demonstrate that active learning for Sobol indices poses unique challenges due to the definition of the…

The variance-based method of global sensitivity indices based on Sobol sensitivity indices became very popular among practitioners due to its easiness of interpretation. For complex practical problems computation of Sobol indices generally…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-06-03 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

We provide an efficient method to approximate the covariance between decision variables and uncertain parameters in solutions to a general class of stochastic nonlinear complementarity problems. We also develop a sensitivity metric to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-10-10 Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Felipe Feijoo , Sauleh Siddiqui

This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the impact of model misspecification when computing general expected values of interest. The methodology that we propose is applicable in great generality, in particular, we provide examples…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-04 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Results from global sensitivity analysis (GSA) often guide the understanding of complicated input-output systems. Kernel-based GSA methods have recently been proposed for their capability of treating a broad scope of complex systems. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-09 John Barr , Herschel Rabitz

Identifying parameters in partial differential equations (PDEs) represents a very broad class of applied inverse problems. In recent years, several unsupervised learning approaches using (deep) neural networks have been developed to solve…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-22 Siyu Cen , Bangti Jin , Qimeng Quan , Zhi Zhou

Reaction-diffusion models are used to describe systems in fields as diverse as physics, chemistry, ecology and biology. The fundamental quantities in such models are individual entities such as atoms and molecules, bacteria, cells or…

计算物理 · 物理学 2016-03-02 Fabian Spill , Pilar Guerrero , Tomas Alarcon , Philip K. Maini , Helen Byrne

The simplest and most widely applied method for guaranteeing differential privacy is to add instance-independent noise to a statistic of interest that is scaled to its global sensitivity. However, global sensitivity is a worst-case notion…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-10 Mark Bun , Thomas Steinke

It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Well-established methods for the solution of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) typically struggle in problems with high-dimensional inputs/outputs. Such difficulties are only amplified in large-scale applications where even…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

This paper presents stochastic virtual element methods for propagating uncertainty in linear elastic stochastic problems. We first derive stochastic virtual element equations for 2D and 3D linear elastic problems that may involve…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-11-01 Zhibao Zheng , Udo Nackenhorst

In this paper we study the sensitivity of nonlinear stochastic differential equations of McKean-Vlasov type generated by stable-like processes. By using the method of stochastic characteristics, we transfer these equations to the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-21 Vassili Kolokoltsov , Marianna Troeva

This paper presents an approach for estimating Shapley effects for use as global sensitivity metrics to quantify the relative importance of uncertain model parameters. Polynomial Chaos expansion, a well established approach for developing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-12 Adrian Stein , Tarunraj Singh

Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) driven by random noise play a central role in modeling physical processes with rough spatio-temporal dynamics, such as turbulence flows, superconductors, and quantum dynamics. Although…