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In a model of the form $Y=h(X_1,\ldots,X_d)$ where the goal is to estimate a parameter of the probability distribution of $Y$, we define new sensitivity indices which quantify the importance of each variable $X_i$ with respect to this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-13 Jean-Claude Fort , Thierry Klein , Nabil Rachdi

Many systems in physics, engineering, and biology exhibit multiscale stochastic dynamics, where low-dimensional slow variables evolve under the influence of high-dimensional fast processes. In practice, observations are often limited to a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Anan Saha , Arnab Ganguly

Many real-world processes and phenomena are modeled using systems of ordinary differential equations with parameters. Given such a system, we say that a parameter is globally identifiable if it can be uniquely recovered from input and…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2023-05-24 Hoon Hong , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Chee Yap

The method of derivative based global sensitivity measures (DGSM) has recently become popular among practitioners. It has a strong link with the Morris screening method and Sobol' sensitivity indices and has several advantages over them.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-05 Serge Kucherenko , Bertrand Iooss

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

We consider a non-linear parabolic partial differential equation (PDE) on $\mathbb R^d$ with a distributional coefficient in the non-linear term. The distribution is an element of a Besov space with negative regularity and the non-linearity…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2022-09-21 Elena Issoglio

Parameter estimation for a parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation in one space dimension is studied observing the solution field on a discrete grid in a fixed bounded domain. Considering an infill asymptotic regime in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-26 Florian Hildebrandt , Mathias Trabs

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are the mathematical tool of choice for modelling spatiotemporal PDE-dynamics under the influence of randomness. Based on the notion of mild solution of an SPDE, we introduce a novel neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Cristopher Salvi , Maud Lemercier , Andris Gerasimovics

We consider parametric estimation for a parabolic linear second order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) from high frequency data which are observed in time and space. By using thinned data obtained from the high frequency…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-01 Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

This work introduces the use of multivariate global sensitivity analysis for assessing the impact of uncertain electric machine design parameters on efficiency maps and profiles. Contrary to the common approach of applying variance-based…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Aylar Partovizadeh , Sebastian Schöps , Dimitrios Loukrezis

This paper is concerned with the numerical approximation of quantities of interest associated with solutions to parametric elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs). The key novelty of this work is in its focus on the quantities of…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-09 Alex Bespalov , Dirk Praetorius , Michele Ruggeri

Stochastic differential equation mixed-effects models (SDEMEMs) are flexible hierarchical models that are able to account for random variability inherent in the underlying time-dynamics, as well as the variability between experimental units…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-01-22 Samuel Wiqvist , Andrew Golightly , Ashleigh T. McLean , Umberto Picchini

Using mathematical models to assist in the interpretation of experiments is becoming increasingly important in research across applied mathematics, and in particular in biology and ecology. In this context, accurate parameter estimation is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-29 Jie Qi , Ruth E. Baker

Models with high-dimensional parameter spaces are common in many applications. Global sensitivity analyses can provide insights on how uncertain inputs and interactions influence the outputs. Many sensitivity analysis methods face…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Haochen Ye , Robert E. Nicholas , Vivek Srikrishnan , Klaus Keller

In this paper, a local-global model reduction method is presented to solve stochastic optimal control problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). If the optimal control problems involve uncertainty, we need to use a few…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-07-04 Lingling Ma , Qiuqi Li , Lijian Jiang

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) can provide rich information for controlling output uncertainty. In practical applications, segmented models are commonly used to describe an abrupt model change. For segmented models, the complicated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li

Differential Equation (DE) is a commonly used modeling method in various scientific subjects such as finance and biology. The parameters in DE models often have interesting scientific interpretations, but their values are often unknown and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-11-24 Ying Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Graph Neural Networks have achieved impressive results across diverse network modeling tasks, but accurately estimating uncertainty on graphs remains difficult, especially under distributional shifts. Unlike traditional uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Fred Xu , Thomas Markovich

In global sensitivity analysis, the well known Sobol' sensitivity indices aim to quantify how the variance in the output of a mathematical model can be apportioned to the different variances of its input random variables. These indices are…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-11 Nazih Benoumechiara , Kevin Elie-Dit-Cosaque

The PAWN index is gaining traction among the modelling community as a sensitivity measure. However, the robustness to its design parameters has not yet been scrutinized: the size ($N$) and sampling ($\varepsilon$) of the model output, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-03 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli