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The optical light curves of many quasars show variations of tenths of a magnitude or more on time scales of months to years. This variation often cannot be described well by a simple deterministic model. We perform a Bayesian comparison of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Rene Andrae , Dae-Won Kim , Coryn A. L. Bailer-Jones

The power spectral density (PSD) is a central frequency-domain descriptor of stochastic processes. While PSDs have been studied for Brownian motion and a few anomalous diffusion processes, the spectral densities of active nonequilibrium…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-12 Yeongjin Kim , Gleb Oshanin , Jae-Hyung Jeon

Context. Lightcurve variability is well-suited for characterising objects in surveys with high cadence and long baseline. This is especially relevant in view of the large datasets to be produced by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-23 S. H. Bruun , A. Agnello , J. Hjorth

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

Complex Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes have various applications in statistical modelling. They play role e.g. in the description of the motion of a charged test particle in a constant magnetic field or in the study of rotating waves in…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-13 Sándor Baran , Csilla Szák-Kocsis , Milan Stehlík

We investigate the dynamics of an inertial active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) particle in the presence of stochastic resetting. Using renewal approach, we compute the mean square displacement (MSD) and position probability distribution…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2025-09-24 Uma Shankari , Mamata Sahoo

The multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is used in many branches of science and engineering to describe the regression of a system to its stationary mean. Here we present an $O(N)$ Bayesian method to estimate the drift and diffusion…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-08-01 Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , R. Adhikari

Physics, chemistry, biology or finance are just some examples out of the many fields where complex Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes have various applications in statistical modelling. They play role e.g. in the description of the motion of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-23 Kinga Sikolya , Sándor Baran

Diesel engine particulate matter (PM) is one of the most challenging emission constituents to predict. As engines become cleaner and emissions levels drop, manufacturers need reliable methods to quantify the PM generated by production…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Maxwell Bolt , Alex Alberts , Akash S. Desai , Peter Meckl , Ilias Bilionis

In recent years there have been many proposals as flexible alternatives to Gaussian based continuous time stochastic volatility models. A great deal of these models employ positive L\'evy processes. Among these are the attractive…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James

Strong lensed quasi-stellar objects (QSOs) are valuable probes of the universe in numerous aspects. Two of these applications, reverberation mapping and measuring time delays for determining cosmological parameters, require the source QSOs…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-02 Yoon Chan Taak , Tommaso Treu

We analyze a portion of the SDSS photometric catalog, consisting of approximately 10,000 objects that have been spectroscopically classified into stars, galaxies, QSOs, late-type stars and unknown objects (spectroscopically unclassified…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 David Bazell , David J. Miller , Mark SubbaRao

The use of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process is ubiquitous in business, economics and finance to capture various price processes and evolution of economic indicators exhibiting mean-reverting properties. When structural changes happen,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Fuqi Chen , Rogemar Mamon , Matt Davison

We develop a method for separating quasars from other variable point sources using SDSS Stripe 82 light curve data for ~10,000 variable objects. To statistically describe quasar variability, we use a damped random walk model parametrized by…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2011-01-28 C. L. MacLeod , K. Brooks , Z. Ivezic , C. S. Kochanek , R. Gibson , A. Meisner , S. Kozlowski , B. Sesar , A. C. Becker , W. de Vries

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process describes the dynamics of Brownian particles in a confining harmonic potential, thereby constituting the paradigmatic model of overdamped, mean-reverting Langevin dynamics. Despite its widespread…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-05-16 Luca Cocconi , Henry Alston , Jacopo Romano , Thibault Bertrand

In this work, we study the class of stochastic process that generalizes the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, hereafter called by \emph{Generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type Process} and denoted by GOU type process. We consider them driven by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-17 J. Stein , S. R. C. Lopes , A. V. Medino

Active Matter models commonly consider particles with overdamped dynamics subject to a force (speed) with constant modulus and random direction. Some models include also random noise in particle displacement (Wiener process) resulting in a…

We conduct a pilot investigation to determine the optimal combination of color and variability information to identify quasars in current and future multi-epoch optical surveys. We use a Bayesian quasar selection algorithm (Richards et al.…

Identifying Active Galactic Nuclei (AGNs) through their X-ray emission is efficient, but necessarily biased against X-ray-faint objects. We aim to characterize this bias by comparing X-ray-selected AGNs to the ones identified through…

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