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Recent developments in numerical weather prediction have led to the use of correlated observation error covariance (OEC) information in data assimilation and forecasting systems. However, diagnosed OEC matrices are often ill-conditioned and…

Hastie et al. (2022) found that ridge regularization is essential in high dimensional linear regression $y=\beta^Tx + \epsilon$ with isotropic co-variates $x\in \mathbb{R}^d$ and $n$ samples at fixed $d/n$. However, Hastie et al. (2022)…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-04 Jake Freeman

Cross-correlation techniques provide a promising avenue for calibrating photometric redshifts and determining redshift distributions using spectroscopy which is systematically incomplete (e.g., current deep spectroscopic surveys fail to…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2012-01-20 Daniel J. Matthews , Jeffrey A. Newman

Multicollinearity produces an inflation in the variance of the Ordinary Least Squares estimators due to the correlation between two or more independent variables (including the constant term). A widely applied solution is to estimate with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-30 Román Salmerón Gómez , Catalina García García , José García Pérez

Obtaining valid treatment effect inference remains a challenging problem when dealing with numerous instruments and non-sparse control variables. In this paper, we propose a novel ridge regularization-based instrumental variables method for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-17 Xiduo Chen , Xingdong Feng , Antonio F. Galvao , Yeheng Ge

In this paper, we consider the interference rejection combining (IRC) receiver, which improves the cell-edge user throughput via suppressing inter-cell interference and requires estimating the covariance matrix including the inter-cell…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Jing Qian , Juening Jin , Hao Wang

Model collapse occurs when generative models degrade after repeatedly training on their own synthetic outputs. We study this effect in overparameterized linear regression in a setting where each iteration mixes fresh real labels with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-13 Anvit Garg , Sohom Bhattacharya , Pragya Sur

Population adjustment methods such as matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) are increasingly used to compare marginal treatment effects when there are cross-trial differences in effect modifiers and limited patient-level data. MAIC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

Data assimilation involves estimating the state of a system by combining observations from various sources with a background estimate of the state. The weights given to the observations and background state depend on their specified error…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-13 Olivier Goux , Anthony Weaver , Selime Gürol , Oliver Guillet , Andrea Piacentini

A conventional wisdom in statistical learning is that large models require strong regularization to prevent overfitting. Here we show that this rule can be violated by linear regression in the underdetermined $n\ll p$ situation under…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-06 Dmitry Kobak , Jonathan Lomond , Benoit Sanchez

When analyzing data from randomized clinical trials, covariate adjustment can be used to account for chance imbalance in baseline covariates and to increase precision of the treatment effect estimate. A practical barrier to covariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Chia-Rui Chang , Yue Song , Fan Li , Rui Wang

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) exhibits strong algorithmic regularization effects in practice and plays an important role in the generalization of modern machine learning. However, prior research has revealed instances where the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Junwei Su , Difan Zou , Chuan Wu

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

We study ridge estimation of the precision matrix in the high-dimensional setting where the number of variables is large relative to the sample size. We first review two archetypal ridge estimators and note that their utilized penalties do…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-17 Wessel N. van Wieringen , Carel F. W. Peeters

Instrumental variables estimation with many instruments is biased. Traditional bias-adjustments are closely connected to the Silverstein equation. Based on the theory of random matrices, we show that Ridge estimation of the first-stage…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-25 Helmut Farbmacher , Rebecca Groh , Michael Mühlegger , Gabriel Vollert

From benign overfitting in overparameterized models to rich power-law scalings in performance, simple ridge regression displays surprising behaviors sometimes thought to be limited to deep neural networks. This balance of phenomenological…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

Data assimilation algorithms combine prior and observational information, weighted by their respective uncertainties, to obtain the most likely posterior of a dynamical system. In variational data assimilation the posterior is computed by…

The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2010-04-27 Ester Pantaleo , Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Inference methods are often formulated as variational approximations: these approximations allow easy evaluation of statistics by marginalization or linear response, but these estimates can be inconsistent. We show that by introducing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-27 Jack Raymond , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

While shrinkage is essential in high-dimensional settings, its use for low-dimensional regression-based prediction has been debated. It reduces variance, often leading to improved prediction accuracy. However, it also inevitably introduces…

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