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This paper analyzes a popular computational framework to solve infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems, discretizing the prior and the forward model in a finite-dimensional weighted inner product space. We demonstrate the benefit of…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-02-22 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) in a deterministic framework was introduced in Sakov et al. (2012) to extend the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and improve its performance in mildly up to strongly nonlinear cases. However, the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Pavel Sakov , Jean-Matthieu Haussaire , Marc Bocquet

We present an analysis of ensemble Kalman inversion, based on the continuous time limit of the algorithm. The analysis of the dynamical behaviour of the ensemble allows us to establish well-posedness and convergence results for a fixed…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-08-09 Claudia Schillings , Andrew Stuart

Bayesian methods are particularly effective for addressing inverse problems due to their ability to manage uncertainties inherent in the inference process. However, employing these methods with costly forward models poses significant…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 G. Robalo Rei , C. P. Schmidt , J. Nitzler , M. Dinkel , W. A. Wall

Ensemble Kalman methods solve problems in domains such as filtering and inverse problems with interacting particles that evolve over time. For computationally expensive problems, the cost of attaining a high accuracy quickly becomes…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-18 Arne Bouillon , Toon Ingelaere , Giovanni Samaey

Data assimilation (DA) integrates numerical model forecasts with observations to achieve the optimal state estimation. Ensemble-based methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), are widely used for state estimation for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-25 Zhou Yao , Zhilin Li , Li Zhao , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

In this paper, the ensemble consider Kalman filter is proposed to mitigate the negative effects of uncertain parameters in nonlinear dynamic and measurement models. The ensemble Kalman filter can avoid using the Jacobian matrices and reduce…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-06-18 Tai-shan Lou , Nan-hua Chen , Hua Xiong , Ya-xi Li , Lei Wang

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

Inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks such as parameter estimation are computationally demanding whenever dealing with physics-based models, and typically require repeated evaluations of complex numerical solvers. When partial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Filippo Zacchei , Paolo Conti , Attilio Alberto Frangi , Andrea Manzoni

Scientific and engineering problems often involve parametric partial differential equations (PDEs), such as uncertainty quantification, optimizations, and inverse problems. However, solving these PDEs repeatedly can be prohibitively…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-04 Jun Sur Richard Park , Xueyu Zhu

We present a regression technique for data-driven problems based on polynomial chaos expansion (PCE). PCE is a popular technique in the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ), where it is typically used to replace a runnable but expensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-02 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

We introduce a gradient-free framework for Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) in sequential settings, aimed at complex systems where gradient information is unavailable. Our method combines Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-22 Robert Gruhlke , Matei Hanu , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker

We discuss properties of hierarchical Bayesian inversion through the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). Our focus will be primarily on deriving continuous-time limits for hierarchical inversion in the linear case. An important characteristic of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-01-04 Neil K. Chada

This work introduces a novel blackbox optimization algorithm for computationally expensive constrained multi-fidelity problems. When applying a direct search method to such problems, the scarcity of feasible points may lead to numerous…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-09 Stéphane Alarie , Charles Audet , Miguel Diago , Sébastien Le Digabel , Xavier Lebeuf

The ensemble random forest filter (ERFF) is presented as an alternative to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for the purpose of inverse modeling. The EnKF is a data assimilation approach that forecasts and updates parameter estimates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-11 Vanessa A. Godoy , Gian F. Napa-García , J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández

Contemporary data assimilation often involves more than a million prediction variables. Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) have been developed by geoscientists. They are successful indispensable tools in science and engineering, because they…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-26 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

Despite the cheap availability of computing resources enabling faster Monte Carlo simulations, the potential benefits of particle filtering in revealing accurate statistical information on the imprecisely known model parameters or modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-07 Saikat Sarkar , Debasish Roy

The problem of incorporating information from observations received serially in time is widespread in the field of uncertainty quantification. Within a probabilistic framework, such problems can be addressed using standard filtering…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Chatchuea Kimchaiwong , Jeremie Houssineau , Adam M. Johansen

System identification poses a significant bottleneck to characterizing and controlling complex systems. This challenge is greatest when both the system states and parameters are not directly accessible leading to a dual-estimation problem.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-08 Matthew F. Singh , Chong Wang , Michael W. Cole , ShiNung Ching