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相关论文: Prior Distributions for the Bradley-Terry Model of…

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The Bradley-Terry model has previously been used in both Bayesian and frequentist interpretations to evaluate the strengths of sports teams based on win-loss game results. It has also been extended to handle additional possible results such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-10 John T. Whelan , Jacob E. Klein

Paired comparison models, such as the Bradley-Terry (1952) model and its variants, are commonly used to measure competitor strength in games and sports. Extensions have been proposed to account for order effects (e.g., home-field advantage)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Mark E. Glickman

We propose a general framework for statistical inference on the overall strengths of players in pairwise comparisons, allowing for potential shifts in the covariate distribution. These covariates capture important contextual information…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li

The rating of items based on pairwise comparisons has been a topic of statistical investigation for many decades. Numerous approaches have been proposed. One of the best known is the Bradley-Terry model. This paper seeks to assemble and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn , David Firth

A common problem faced in statistical inference is drawing conclusions from paired comparisons, in which two objects compete and one is declared the victor. A probabilistic approach to such a problem is the Bradley-Terry model, first…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-12-19 Gabriel C. Phelan , John T. Whelan

We study the ranking of individuals, teams, or objects, based on pairwise comparisons between them, using the Bradley-Terry model. Estimates of rankings within this model are commonly made using a simple iterative algorithm first introduced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-16 M. E. J. Newman

Pairwise comparison data are widely used to infer latent rankings in areas such as sports, social choice, and machine learning. The Bradley-Terry model provides a foundational probabilistic framework but inherently assumes transitive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Hisaya Okahara , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We describe the application of the Bradley-Terry model to NCAA Division I Men's Ice Hockey. A Bayesian construction gives a joint posterior probability distribution for the log-strength parameters, given a set of game results and a choice…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-03-21 John T. Whelan , Adam Wodon

The seminal Bradley-Terry model exhibits transitivity, i.e., the property that the probabilities of player A beating B and B beating C give the probability of A beating C, with these probabilities determined by a skill parameter for each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Jess Spearing , Jonathan Tawn , David Irons , Tim Paulden

Many applications, e.g. in content recommendation, sports, or recruitment, leverage the comparisons of alternatives to score those alternatives. The classical Bradley-Terry model and its variants have been widely used to do so. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-23 Julien Fageot , Sadegh Farhadkhani , Lê Nguyên Hoang , Oscar Villemaud

This paper deals with the estimation of the unknown distribution of hidden random variables from the observation of pairwise comparisons between these variables. This problem is inspired by recent developments on Bradley-Terry models in…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-27 Sylvain Le Corff , Matthieu Lerasle , Elodie Vernet

This contribution introduces a novel statistical learning methodology based on the Bradley-Terry method for pairwise comparisons, where the novelty arises from the method's capacity to estimate the worth of objects for a primary attribute…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Sjoerd Hermes , Joost van Heerwaarden , Pariya Behrouzi

The Bradley-Terry model is a popular approach to describe probabilities of the possible outcomes when elements of a set are repeatedly compared with one another in pairs. It has found many applications including animal behaviour, chess…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Francois Caron , Arnaud Doucet

Statistical inference in parametric models (e.g., the Bradley--Terry model and its variants) for paired-comparison data has been explored in the high-dimensional regime, in which the number of items involving in paired comparisons diverges.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Haoyue Song , Lianqiang Qu , Ting Yan , Yuguo Chen

In a wide class of paired comparisons, especially in the sports games, in which all subjects are divided into several groups, the intragroup comparisons are dense and the intergroup comparisons are sparse. Typical examples include the NFL…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2012-06-11 Ting Yan , Jinfeng Xu , Yaning Yang

Several methods of preference modeling, ranking, voting and multi-criteria decision making include pairwise comparisons. It is usually simpler to compare two objects at a time, furthermore, some relations (e.g., the outcome of sports…

PageRank and the Bradley-Terry model are competing approaches to ranking entities such as teams in sports tournaments or journals in citation networks. The Bradley-Terry model is a classical statistical method for ranking based on paired…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 David Antony Selby

The Bradley-Terry (BT) model is a common and successful practice in reward modeling for Large Language Model (LLM) alignment. However, it remains unclear why this model -- originally developed for multi-player stochastic game matching --…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Hao Sun , Yunyi Shen , Jean-Francois Ton

This article introduces the bpcs R package (Bayesian Paired Comparison in Stan) and the statistical models implemented in the package. This package aims to facilitate the use of Bayesian models for paired comparison data in behavioral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-21 David Issa Mattos , Érika Martins Silva Ramos

Australian Rules Football is a field invasion game where two teams attempt to score the highest points to win. Complex machine learning algorithms have been developed to predict match outcomes post-game, but their lack of interpretability…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Carlos Rafael Gonzalez Soffner , Manuele Leonelli
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