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We study several bayesian inference problems for irreversible stochastic epidemic models on networks from a statistical physics viewpoint. We derive equations which allow to accurately compute the posterior distribution of the time…

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

A model for epidemic spreading on rewiring networks is introduced and analyzed for the case of scale free steady state networks. It is found that contrary to what one would have naively expected, the rewiring process typically tends to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Yonathan Schwarzkopf , Attila Rakos , David Mukamel

The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

Most of the common used models of epidemic spreading allow contaminating many neighbors of a particular node in the network. They are usually analyzed by differential equations on probability vectors. We propose a model of epidemic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-14 Wojciech Ganczarek

Several recent studies have tackled the issue of optimal network immunization by providing efficient criteria to identify key nodes to be removed in order to break apart a network, thus preventing the occurrence of extensive epidemic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-22 Giovanni Strona , Claudio Castellano

The spread of one disease, in some cases, can stimulate the spreading of another infectious disease. Here, we treat analytically a symmetric coinfection model for spreading of two diseases on a two-layer multiplex network. We allow layer…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-04-20 N. Azimi-Tafreshi

We show that the recently introduced logarithmic metrics used to predict disease arrival times on complex networks are approximations of more general network-based measures derived from random walks theory. Using the daily air-traffic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-01-18 Flavio Iannelli , Andreas Koher , Dirk Brockmann , Philipp Hoevel , Igor M. Sokolov

Epidemics occur in all shapes and forms: infections propagating in our sparse sexual networks, rumours and diseases spreading through our much denser social interactions, or viruses circulating on the Internet. With the advent of large…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Jean-Gabriel Young , Louis J. Dubé

In this paper we study the household-structure SIS epidemic spreading on general complex networks. The household structure gives us the way to distinguish inner and the outer infection rate. Unlike household-structure models on homogenous…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-02-14 Jingzhou Liu , Jinshan Wu , Z. R. Yang

Efficient testing and vaccination protocols are critical aspects of epidemic management. To study the optimal allocation of limited testing and vaccination resources in a heterogeneous contact network of interacting susceptible, recovered,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou

In this paper, we focus on the node-based epidemic modeling for networks, introduce the propagation medium and propose a node-based Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model with infective media. Theoretical…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-03 Leyi Zheng , Longkun Tang

Spreading processes have been largely studied in the literature, both analytically and by means of large-scale numerical simulations. These processes mainly include the propagation of diseases, rumors and information on top of a given…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-05-10 Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

We study the following model of disease spread in a social network. At first, all individuals are either infected or healthy. Next, in discrete rounds, the disease spreads in the network from infected to healthy individuals such that a…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2024-09-04 Michal Dvořák , Dušan Knop , Šimon Schierreich

Many real networks exhibit a layered structure in which links in each layer reflect the function of nodes on different environments. These multiple types of links are usually represented by a multiplex network in which each layer has a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-03-19 C. Buono , L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

In this chapter, we focus on the problem of containing the spread of diseases taking place in both temporal and adaptive networks (i.e., networks whose structure `adapts' to the state of the disease). We specifically focus on the problem of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

Motivated by the study of controlling (curing) epidemics, we consider the spread of an SI process on a known graph, where we have a limited budget to use to transition infected nodes back to the susceptible state (i.e., to cure nodes).…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-02-27 Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

We address the problem of using observational data to estimate peer contagion effects, the influence of treatments applied to individuals in a network on the outcomes of their neighbors. A main challenge to such estimation is that homophily…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-05-18 Irina Cristali , Victor Veitch

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Recent studies in network science and control have shown a meaningful relationship between the epidemic processes (e.g., COVID-19 spread) and some network properties. This paper studies how such network properties, namely clustering…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-03-17 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee