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Decisions regarding housing, transportation, and resource allocation would all benefit from accurate small-area population forecasts. While various tried-and-tested forecast methods exist at regional scales, developing an accurate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-03-13 Yuchao Chen , Yunus A. Kinkhabwala , Boris Barron , Matthew Hall , Tomas A. Arias , Itai Cohen

Source-sink systems are metapopulations of habitat patches with different, and possibly temporally varying, habitat qualities, which are commonly used in ecology to study the fate of spatially extended natural populations. We propose new…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-18 Vincent Bansaye , Amaury Lambert

We consider a system of two competing populations in two-dimensional heterogeneous environments. The populations are assumed to move horizontally and vertically with different probabilities, but are otherwise identical. We regard these…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-02-26 Emeric Bouin , Guillaume Legendre , Yuan Lou , Nichole Slover

Motivated by the question of the impact of selective advantage in populations with skewed reproduction mechanims, we study a Moran model with selection. We assume that there are two types of individuals, where the reproductive success of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-08 Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , José Luis Pérez

The sample frequency spectrum (SFS), which describes the distribution of mutant alleles in a sample of DNA sequences, is a widely used summary statistic in population genetics. The expected SFS has a strong dependence on the historical…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-12-19 Zvi Rosen , Anand Bhaskar , Sebastien Roch , Yun S. Song

Geographical data are generally autocorrelated. In this case, it is preferable to select spread units. In this paper, we propose a new method for selecting well-spread samples from a finite spatial population with equal or unequal inclusion…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-11 Raphaël Jauslin , Yves Tillé

In this paper we propose a family of multivariate asymmetric distributions over an arbitrary subset of set of real numbers which is defined in terms of the well-known elliptically symmetric distributions. We explore essential properties,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-02 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Leonardo Santos , João Monteiros , Felipe Quintino

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

Motivated by the need for computationally tractable spatial methods in neuroimaging studies, we develop a distributed and integrated framework for estimation and inference of Gaussian process model parameters with ultra-high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich , Ani Eloyan

We review recent progress in the understanding of the role of multiple- and simultaneous multiple merger coalescents as models for the genealogy in idealised and real populations with exceptional reproductive behaviour. In particular, we…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-22 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

Spatial distribution of the human population is distinctly heterogeneous, e.g. showing significant difference in the population density between urban and rural areas. In the historical perspective, i.e. on the timescale of centuries, the…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2022-08-30 Anna Zincenko , Sergei Petrovskii , Vitaly Volpert

We consider population dynamics as implemented by the cloning algorithm for analysis of large deviations of time-averaged quantities. Using the simple symmetric exclusion process as a prototypical example, we investigate the convergence of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-05-11 Tobias Brewer , Stephen R. Clark , Russell Bradford , Robert L. Jack

We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-19 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Understanding the evolution of dispersal is an important issue in evolutionary ecology. For continuous time models in which individuals disperse throughout their lifetime, it has been shown that a balanced dispersal strategy, which results…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-02-12 Robert Stephen Cantrell , Chris Cosner , Yuan Lou , Sebastian J. Schreiber

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

Demographic (shot) noise in population dynamics scales with the square root of the population size. This process is very important, as it yields an absorbing state at zero field, but simulating it, especially on spatial domains, is a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-09-12 Haim Weissmann , Nadav M. Shnerb , David A. Kessler

The spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot (SLFV) process (Barton, Etheridge and V\'eber, 2010) can be seen as a generalised Voter Model with configuration space $M^{R^d}$, where M is the set of probability measures on some space K. Such processes are…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-28 Habib Saadi

In this study, we present a population dispersal model for Glis glis, a rodent species with a strong preference for forest habitats. The model addresses dispersal processes by incorporating the ecological traits, including habitat…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-04-07 Jeehye Choi , KyoungEun Lee , Do-Hun Lee , Byungjoon Min , Tae-Soo Chon