相关论文: Estimating the maximum possible earthquake magnitu…

According to the concept of typicality, an ensemble average can be accurately approximated by an expectation value with respect to a single pure state drawn at random from a high-dimensional Hilbert space. This random-vector approximation,…

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Maximum-likelihood exponent maps have been studied as a technique to increase the understanding and improve the fit of power-law exponents to experimental and numerical simulation data, especially when they exhibit both upper and lower…

We propose a new approach for generating synthetic earthquake catalogues based on the physics of soft glasses. The continuum approach produces yield-stress materials based on Lattice-Boltzmann simulations. We show that, if the material is…

Predictions of the uncertainty associated with extreme events are a vital component of any prediction system for such events. Consequently, the prediction system ought to be probabilistic in nature, with the predictions taking the form of…

In extreme value theory, there are two fundamental approaches, both widely used: the block maxima (BM) method and the peaks-over-threshold (POT) method. Whereas much theoretical research has gone into the POT method, the BM method has not…

At mesoscopic scales, the quantum corrected field equations of gravity should arise from extremizing, $\Omega$, the number of microscopic configurations of pre-geometric variables consistent with a given geometry. This $\Omega$, in turn, is…

Extreme events such as natural and economic disasters leave lasting impacts on society and motivate the analysis of extremes from data. While classical statistical tools based on Gaussian distributions focus on average behaviour and can…

Three fundamental laws of the physics of earthquakes, bearing the names of their discoverers Omori, Gutenberg, Richter and Bath, are widely used in original, review, monographic, and encyclopedic literature. In this paper, we have tried to…

In extreme values theory, for a sufficiently large block size, the maxima distribution is approximated by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The GEV distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions, which has…

This paper presents a proof of concept for spatial prediction of rock saturation probability using classifier ensemble methods on the example of the giant Groningen gas field. The stages of generating 1481 seismic field attributes and…

We obtain the high energy, small angle, 2-particle gravitational scattering amplitudes in topologically massive gravity (TMG) and its two non-dynamical constituents, Einstein and Chern--Simons gravity. We use 't Hooft's approach, formally…

When extreme weather events affect large areas, their regional to sub-continental spatial scale is important for their impacts. We propose a novel machine learning (ML) framework that integrates spatial extreme-value theory to model weather…

Suppose that the normal model is used for data $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$, but that the true distribution is a t-distribution with location and scale parameters $\xi$ and $\sigma$ and $m$ degrees of freedom. The normal model corresponds to…

Verifying probabilistic forecasts for extreme events is a highly active research area because popular media and public opinions are naturally focused on extreme events, and biased conclusions are readily made. In this context, classical…

This research presents one possible way for imminent prediction of earthquake magnitude, depth and epicenter coordinates by solving the inverse problem using a data acquisition network system for monitoring, archiving and complex analysis…

A weighted Gaussian approximation to tail product-limit process for Pareto-like distributions of randomly right-truncated data is provided and a new consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the extreme value index is derived. A…

The microcanonical statistical mechanics of a set of self-gravitating particles is analyzed in mean-field approach. In order to deal with an upper bounded entropy functional, a softened gravitational potential is used. The softening is…

This paper is an attempt for arguing the possibility for short time when, where and how Earthquakes prediction. The local when Earthquake prediction is based on the connection between geomagnetic quakes and the next incoming minimum or…

Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is exploited to determine the global stability threshold $R_g$ of plane Couette flow --the flow of a viscous fluid in the space between two parallel plates-- whose laminar or turbulent behavior depends on the…