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A complete characterization of the possible joint distributions of the maximum and terminal value of uniformly integrable martingale has been known for some time, and the aim of this paper is to establish a similar characterization for…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , L. C. G. Rogers

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

Synchronization of chaotic units coupled by their time delayed variables are investigated analytically. A new type of cooperative behavior is found: sublattice synchronization. Although the units of one sublattice are not directly coupled…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Johannes Kestler , Wolfgang Kinzel , Ido Kanter

Two replicas of spatially extended chaotic systems synchronize to a common spatio-temporal chaotic state when coupled above a critical strength. As a prototype of each single spatio-temporal chaotic system a lattice of maps interacting via…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2008-09-23 M. Cencini , C. J. Tessone , A. Torcini

Numerical experiments recently discussed in the literature show that identical nonlinear chaotic systems linked by a common noise term (or signal) may synchronize after a finite time. We study the process of synchronization as function of…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-28 L. Longa , E. M. F. Curado , F. A. Oliveira

We study a one-dimensional chain of harmonically coupled units in an asymmetric anharmonic soft potential. Due to nonlinear localisation of energy, this system exhibits extreme events in the sense that individual elements of the chain show…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2016-12-28 Colm Mulhern , Stephan Bialonski , Holger Kantz

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

In a generalized framework, where multi-state and inter-state linkages are allowed, we derive a sufficient condition for the stability of synchronization in a network of chaotic attractors. This condition explicitly relates the network…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-07-29 Saeed Manaffam , Alireza Seyedi

Classical results for exchangeable systems of random variables are extended to multi-class systems satisfying a natural partial exchangeability assumption. It is proved that the conditional law of a finite multi-class system, given the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-10-16 Carl Graham

We study the extremes for a class of a symmetric stable random fields with long range dependence. We prove functional extremal theorems both in the space of sup measures and in the space of cadlag functions of several variables. The limits…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-17 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

For flows whose return map on a cross section has sufficient mixing property, we show that the hitting time distribution of the flow to balls is exponential in limit. We also establish a link between the extreme value distribution of the…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-09-26 Maria Jose Pacifico , Fan Yang

We determine the asymptotic distribution of the sum of correlated variables described by a matrix product ansatz with finite matrices, considering variables with finite variances. In cases when the correlation length is finite, the law of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-08 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

Describing the complex dependence structure of extreme phenomena is particularly challenging. To tackle this issue we develop a novel statistical algorithm that describes extremal dependence taking advantage of the inherent hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-24 Sabrina Vettori , Raphaël Huser , Johan Segers , Marc G. Genton

We consider diffusively coupled map lattices with $P$ neighbors (where $P$ is arbitrary) and study the stability of synchronized state. We show that there exists a critical lattice size beyond which the synchronized state is unstable. This…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 P. Palaniyandi , Govindan Rangarajan

This brief paper summarize the chances offered by the Peak-Over-Threshold method, related with analysis of extremes. Identification of appropriate Value at Risk can be solved by fitting data with a Generalized Pareto Distribution. Also an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-04 Gianluca Rosso

We study systems of identical coupled oscillators introducing a distribution of delay times in the coupling. For arbitrary network topologies, we show that the frequency and stability of the fully synchronized states depend only on the mean…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2016-07-04 Lucas Wetzel , Luis G. Morelli , Andrew C. Oates , Frank Julicher , Saul Ares

The statistical theory of extremes is extended to observations that are non-stationary and not independent. The non-stationarity over time and space is controlled via the scedasis (tail scale) in the marginal distributions. Spatial…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-10 John H. J. Einmahl , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan , Claudia Neves , Chen Zhou

We exploit the asymptotic normality of the extreme value theory (EVT) based estimators of the parameters of a symmetric L\'evy-stable distribution, to construct confidence intervals. The accuracy of these intervals is evaluated through a…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-11 Djamel Meraghni , Louiza Soltane

We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel

We apply Tsallis's q-indexed nonextensive entropy to formulate a random matrix theory (RMT), which may be suitable for systems with mixed regular-chaotic dynamics. We consider the super-extensive regime of q < 1. We obtain analytical…

数学物理 · 物理学 2011-12-06 A. Abd El-Hady , A. Y. Abul-Magd