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Post-data statistical inference concerns making probability statements about model parameters conditional on observed data. When a priori knowledge about parameters is available, post-data inference can be conveniently made from Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-05 Yang Liu , Jan Hannig , Alexander C Murph

The problem of how to best select variables for confounding adjustment forms one of the key challenges in the evaluation of exposure effects in observational studies, and has been the subject of vigorous recent activity in causal inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Kelly Van Lancker , Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt

A confidence distribution is a complete tool for making frequentist inference for a parameter of interest $\psi$ based on an assumed parametric model. Indeed, it allows to reach point estimates, to assess their precision, to set up tests…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

Survival analysis is a fundamental area of focus in biomedical research, particularly in the context of personalized medicine. This prominence is due to the increasing prevalence of large and high-dimensional datasets, such as omics and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-23 Carlos García Meixide , Marcos Matabuena , Louis Abraham , Michael R. Kosorok

In the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature, many examples have been reported in which Bayesian estimators and posterior distributions do not achieve the optimal convergence rate, indicating that the Bernstein-von Mises theorem does not…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Yongdai Kim , Jaeyong Lee

The development of statistical methods for valid and efficient probabilistic inference without prior distributions has a long history. Fisher's fiducial inference is perhaps the most famous of these attempts. We argue that, despite its…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-20 Chuanhai Liu , Ryan Martin

Instrumental variable (IV) methods allow us the opportunity to address unmeasured confounding in causal inference. However, most IV methods are only applicable to discrete or continuous outcomes with very few IV methods for censored…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-30 Youjin Lee , Edward H. Kennedy , Nandita Mitra

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

When prior information is lacking, the go-to strategy for probabilistic inference is to combine a "default prior" and the likelihood via Bayes's theorem. Objective Bayes, (generalized) fiducial inference, etc. fall under this umbrella. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Ryan Martin

One goal in survival analysis of right-censored data is to estimate the marginal survival function in the presence of dependent censoring. When many auxiliary covariates are sufficient to explain the dependent censoring, estimation based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng

Assuming some regression model, it is common to study the conditional distribution of survival given covariates. Here, we consider the impact of further conditioning, specifically conditioning on a marginal survival function, known or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

Confidence intervals for the means of multiple normal populations are often based on a hierarchical normal model. While commonly used interval procedures based on such a model have the nominal coverage rate on average across a population of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-28 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

Non-parametric maximum likelihood estimation encompasses a group of classic methods to estimate distribution-associated functions from potentially censored and truncated data, with extensive applications in survival analysis. These methods,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-05 Justin D. Tubbs , Lane Guolan Chen , Thuan Quoc Thach , Pak C. Sham

Bayesian inference for survival regression modeling offers numerous advantages, especially for decision-making and external data borrowing, but demands the specification of the baseline hazard function, which may be a challenging task. We…

We study frequentist confidence intervals based on graphical profile likelihoods (Wilks' theorem, likelihood integration), and the Feldman-Cousins (FC) prescription, a generalisation of the Neyman belt construction, in a setting with…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2026-01-21 Shubham Barua , Shantanu Desai , Mauricio Lopez-Hernandez , Eoin Ó Colgáin

Model-free time-to-event regression under confounding presents challenges due to biases introduced by causal and censoring sampling mechanisms. This phenomenology poses problems for classical non-parametric estimators like Beran's or the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-28 Carlos García-Meixide , Marcos Matabuena

The conditional survival function of a time-to-event outcome subject to censoring and truncation is a common target of estimation in survival analysis. This parameter may be of scientific interest and also often appears as a nuisance in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Charles J. Wolock , Peter B. Gilbert , Noah Simon , Marco Carone

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

In this paper, we prove almost surely consistency of a Survival Analysis model, which puts a Gaussian process, mapped to the unit interval, as a prior on the so-called hazard function. We assume our data is given by survival lifetimes $T$…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-09 Tamara Fernández , Yee Whye Teh

Factorial survival designs with right-censored observations are commonly inferred by Cox regression and explained by means of hazard ratios. However, in case of non-proportional hazards, their interpretation can become cumbersome;…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-26 Marc Ditzhaus , Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly