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We propose a way to construct fiducial distributions for a multidimensional parameter using a step-by-step conditional procedure related to the inferential importance of the components of the parameter. For discrete models, in which the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-07 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

The concept of fiducial inference was introduced by R. A. Fisher in the 1930s to address the perceived limitations of Bayesian inference, particularly the need for subjective prior distributions in cases with limited prior information.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Wei Du , Jan Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yi Su , Chunzhe Zhang

In the past two decades, there has been a fast-growing literature on fiducial inference since it was first proposed by R. A. Fisher in the 1930s. However, most of the fiducial inference based methods and related approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig

We present a method of constructing statistical intervals that obtain a natural middle ground between Bayesian and frequentist statistical intervals, previously unexplored in literature: To a p% Bayesian credible interval we should assign a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Tim Ritmeester

R. A. Fisher introduced the fiducial distribution as a potential replacement for the Bayesian posterior distribution in the 1930s. During the past century, fiducial approaches have been explored in various parametric and nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig , Paul Edlefsen

Inferential challenges that arise when data are censored have been extensively studied under the classical frameworks. In this paper, we provide an alternative generalized inferential model approach whose output is a data-dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Joyce Cahoon , Ryan Martin

The aim of this paper is to firmly establish subjective fiducial inference as a rival to the more conventional schools of statistical inference, and to show that Fisher's intuition concerning the importance of the fiducial argument was…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-08 Russell J. Bowater

In randomized trials and observational studies, it is often necessary to evaluate the extent to which an intervention affects a time-to-event outcome, which is only partially observed due to right censoring. For instance, in infectious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Yutong Jin , Peter B. Gilbert , Aaron Hudson

Interval censoring occurs when event times are only known to fall between scheduled assessments, a common design in clinical trials, epidemiology, and reliability studies. Standard right-censoring methods, such as Kaplan-Meier and Cox…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 J. T. Korley

We develop inference procedures for longitudinal data where some of the measurements are censored by fixed constants. We consider a semi-parametric quantile regression model that makes no distributional assumptions. Our research is…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-02 Huixia Judy Wang , Mendel Fygenson

Existing survival analysis techniques heavily rely on strong modelling assumptions and are, therefore, prone to model misspecification errors. In this paper, we develop an inferential method based on ideas from conformal prediction, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Emmanuel J. Candès , Lihua Lei , Zhimei Ren

We establish a general Bernstein--von Mises theorem for approximately linear semiparametric functionals of fractional posterior distributions based on nonparametric priors. This is illustrated in a number of nonparametric settings and for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Alice L'Huillier , Luke Travis , Ismaël Castillo , Kolyan Ray

Various methods have recently been proposed to estimate causal effects with confidence intervals that are uniformly valid over a set of data generating processes when high-dimensional nuisance models are estimated by post-model-selection or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Niloofar Moosavi , Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna

The flexibility and wide applicability of the Fisher randomization test (FRT) makes it an attractive tool for assessment of causal effects of interventions from modern-day randomized experiments that are increasing in size and complexity.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-21 Xiaokang Luo , Tirthankar Dasgupta , Minge Xie , Regina Liu

We propose a method to quantify uncertainty around individual survival distribution estimates using right-censored data, compatible with any survival model. Unlike classical confidence intervals, the survival bands produced by this method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

New methods and theory have recently been developed to nonparametrically estimate cumulative incidence functions for competing risks survival data subject to current status censoring. In particular, the limiting distribution of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-12 Marloes H. Maathuis , Michael G. Hudgens

We consider the nonparametric multivariate isotonic regression problem, where the regression function is assumed to be nondecreasing with respect to each predictor. Our goal is to construct a Bayesian credible interval for the function…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni

Especially when facing reliability data with limited information (e.g., a small number of failures), there are strong motivations for using Bayesian inference methods. These include the option to use information from physics-of-failure or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Qinglong Tian , Colin Lewis-Beck , Jarad Niemi , William Meeker

Confidence intervals are assessed according to two criteria, namely expected length and coverage probability. In an attempt to apply the decision-theoretic method to finding a good confidence interval, a loss function that is a linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila