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相关论文: Gini estimation under infinite variance

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Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

Extreme value theory offers a statistical framework for quantifying the risk of rare events, with the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution providing the canonical limit model for univariate threshold exceedances. In many applications,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Mirco Lescart , Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

We analyze the performance of RiskMetrics, a widely used methodology for measuring market risk. Based on the assumption of normally distributed returns, the RiskMetrics model completely ignores the presence of fat tails in the distribution…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

Empirical likelihood is a well-known nonparametric method in statistics and has been widely applied in statistical inference. The method has been employed by Lu and Peng (2002) to constructing confidence intervals for the tail index of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-19 Yizeng Li , Yongcheng Qi

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

Ex ante forecast outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. Reapplying measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-09-12 Nassim N. Taleb

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Louiza Soltane

This paper offers a precise analytical characterization of the distribution of returns for a portfolio constituted of assets whose returns are described by an arbitrary joint multivariate distribution. In this goal, we introduce a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 D. Sornette , P. Simonetti , J. V. Andersen

This paper addresses important weaknesses in current methodology for the estimation of multivariate extreme event distributions. The estimation of the residual dependence index $\eta \in (0,1]$ is notoriously problematic. We introduce a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-05 Jennifer Israelsson , Emily Black , Claudia Neves , David Walshaw

Income inequality is an important issue that has to be solved in order to make progress in our society. The study of income inequality is well received through the Gini coefficient, which is used to measure degrees of inequality in general.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-26 Wanetha Sudswong , Anon Plangprasopchok , Chainarong Amornbunchornvej

We propose a semiparametric method for fitting the tail of a heavy-tailed population given a relatively small sample from that population and a larger sample from a related background population. We model the tail of the small sample as an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-21 William Fithian , Stefan Wager

In this paper, we propose a reduced-bias estimator of the EVI for Pareto-type tails (heavy-tailed) distributions. This is derived using the weighted least squares method. It is shown that the estimator is unbiased, consistent and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-12 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , K. Doku-Amponsah

The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

Classical estimation techniques for linear models either are inconsistent, or perform rather poorly, under $\alpha$-stable error densities; most of them are not even rate-optimal. In this paper, we propose an original one-step R-estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-19 Marc Hallin , Yvik Swan , Thomas Verdebout , David Veredas

To simultaneously overcome the limitation of the Gini index in that it is less sensitive to inequality at the tails of income distribution and the limitation of the inter-decile ratios that ignore inequality in the middle of income…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-03 Thitithep Sitthiyot , Kanyarat Holasut

Conventional methods for extreme event estimation rely on well-chosen parametric models asymptotically justified from extreme value theory (EVT). These methods, while powerful and theoretically grounded, could however encounter a difficult…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Yuanlu Bai , Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang

This article describes mathematical methods for estimating the top-tail of the wealth distribution and therefrom the share of total wealth that the richest $p$ percent hold, which is an intuitive measure of inequality. As the data base for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Christoph Dalitz

This article studies tail behavior for the error components in the stochastic frontier model, where one component has bounded support on one side, and the other has unbounded support on both sides. Under weak assumptions on the error…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-16 William , C. Horrace , Yulong Wang

For highly skewed or fat-tailed distributions, mean or median-based methods often fail to capture the central tendencies in the data. Despite being a viable alternative, estimating the conditional mode given certain covariates (or mode…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-10 Eduardo Schirmer Finn , Eduardo Horta

This paper considers estimation and inference about tail features when the observations beyond some threshold are censored. We first show that ignoring such tail censoring could lead to substantial bias and size distortion, even if the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-25 Yulong Wang , Zhijie Xiao