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In this paper, we are interested in least squares estimator for a class of path-dependent McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). More precisely, we investigate the consistency and asymptotic distribution of the least…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-28 Panpan Ren , Jianglun Wu

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

Maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) approaches are an effective framework for inverse problems with known forward operators, particularly when combined with expressive priors and careful parameter selection. In blind settings, however, their use…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Nathan Buskulic , Luca Calatroni

We investigate the estimates of the density for the traditional Euler-Maruyama discretization of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with multiplicative noise. Our estimates focus on two key aspects: (1) the $L^p$-upper bounds for…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-11 Lei Li , Mengchao Wang , Yuliang Wang

We derive a reduced-order state estimator for discrete-time infinite dimensional linear systems with finite dimensional Gaussian input and output noise. This state estimator is the optimal one-step estimate that takes values in a fixed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-08 Atte Aalto

Characterizing conformational transitions in physical systems remains a fundamental challenge, as traditional sampling methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of molecular systems and high-energy barriers between stable states.…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-09-22 Magnus Petersen , Gemma Roig , Roberto Covino

A general approach to provide approximate parameterizations of the "small" scales by the "large" ones, is developed for stochastic partial differential equations driven by linear multiplicative noise. This is accomplished via the concept of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2013-10-16 Mickael D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang

We present results on parameter estimation and non-parameter estimation of the linear partially observed Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations. We propose new one-step estimators which have the same asymptotic properties as…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-23 Yury A. Kutoyants , Li Zhou

Diffusion models have quickly become some of the most popular and powerful generative models for high-dimensional data. The key insight that enabled their development was the realization that access to the score -- the gradient of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Zhenghan Fang , Mateo Díaz , Sam Buchanan , Jeremias Sulam

We study stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE) where the coefficients depend on the moving averages of the state process. As a first contribution, we provide sufficient conditions under which a linear path functional of the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-17 Salvatore Federico , Peter Tankov

Stochastic filtering is a vibrant area of research in both control theory and statistics, with broad applications in many scientific fields. Despite its extensive historical development, there still lacks an effective method for joint…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-03 Zhou Fang , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Dynamical systems are essential to model various phenomena in physics, finance, economics, and are also of current interest in machine learning. A central modeling task is investigating parameter sensitivity, whether tuning atmospheric…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-14 Rishi Leburu , Levon Nurbekyan , Lars Ruthotto

This paper is devoted to studying the Onsager-Machlup functional for stochastic differential equations with time-varying noise of the {\alpha}-H\"older, 0<{\alpha}<1/4, dXt =f(t,Xt)dt+g(t)dWt. Our study focuses on scenarios where the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-24 Xinze Zhang , Yong Li

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…

A challenge in multivariate problems with discrete structures is the inclusion of prior information that may differ in each separate structure. A particular example of this is seismic amplitude versus angle (AVA) inversion to elastic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-09 Erlend Aune , Daniel Simpson

In this work we connect two notions: That of the nonparametric mode of a probability measure, defined by asymptotic small ball probabilities, and that of the Onsager-Machlup functional, a generalized density also defined via asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-09 Remo Kretschmann

While traditional statistical signal processing model-based methods can derive the optimal estimators relying on specific statistical assumptions, current learning-based methods further promote the performance upper bound via deep neural…

声音 · 计算机科学 2022-03-17 Andong Li , Chengshi Zheng , Ziyang Zhang , Xiaodong Li

In Bayesian inference, the maximum a posteriori (MAP) problem combines the most probable explanation (MPE) and marginalization (MAR) problems. The counterpart in propositional logic is the exist-random stochastic satisfiability (ER-SSAT)…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2022-05-23 Vu H. N. Phan , Moshe Y. Vardi

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Our subject of study is strong approximation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with respect to the supremum error criterion, and we seek approximations that are strongly asymptotically optimal in specific classes of…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-17 Simon Hatzesberger