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Kaplan-Meier survival analysis represents the most objective measure of treatment efficacy in oncology, though subjected to potential bias, which is worrisome in an era of precision medicine. Independent of the bias inherent to the design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-17 Enrique Barrajón , Laura Barrajón

Survival analysis is a type of semi-supervised ranking task where the target output (the survival time) is often right-censored. Utilizing this information is a challenge because it is not obvious how to correctly incorporate these censored…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Margaux Luck , Tristan Sylvain , Joseph Paul Cohen , Heloise Cardinal , Andrea Lodi , Yoshua Bengio

A survival dataset describes a set of instances (e.g. patients) and provides, for each, either the time until an event (e.g. death), or the censoring time (e.g. when lost to follow-up - which is a lower bound on the time until the event).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

Accurately predicting the time of occurrence of an event of interest is a critical problem in longitudinal data analysis. One of the main challenges in this context is the presence of instances whose event outcomes become unobservable after…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-12-26 Ping Wang , Yan Li , Chandan K. Reddy

We present a new estimator of the restricted mean survival time in randomized trials where there is right censoring that may depend on treatment and baseline variables. The proposed estimator leverages prognostic baseline variables to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Iván Díaz , Elizabeth Colantuoni , Daniel F. Hanley , Michael Rosenblum

The usual parametric models for survival data are of the following form. Some parametrically specified hazard rate $\alpha(s,\theta)$ is assumed for possibly censored random life times $X_1^0,\ldots,X_n^0$; one observes only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Nils Lid Hjort

The current state of evaluation in survival analysis is plagued by the persistent use of evaluation metrics in ways that are misaligned with the stated modeling objective. In addition, many such evaluations are based on censoring…

Censoring is the central problem in survival analysis where either the time-to-event (for instance, death), or the time-tocensoring (such as loss of follow-up) is observed for each sample. The majority of existing machine learning-based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Weijia Zhang , Chun Kai Ling , Xuanhui Zhang

Weighting with the inverse probability of censoring is an approach to deal with censoring in regression analyses where the outcome may be missing due to right-censoring. In this paper, three separate approaches involving this idea in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Morten Overgaard

We consider the classic supervised learning problem, where a continuous non-negative random label $Y$ (i.e. a random duration) is to be predicted based upon observing a random vector $X$ valued in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $d\geq 1$ by means of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-06 Guillaume Ausset , Stéphan Clémençon , François Portier

While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

For right censored survival data, it is well known that the mean survival time can be consistently estimated when the support of the censoring time contains the support of the survival time. In practice, however, this condition can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-01 Ying Ding , Bin Nan

The i.i.d. censoring model for survival analysis assumes two independent sequences of i.i.d. positive random variables, $(T_i^*)_{1\le i\le n}$ and $(U_i)_{1\le i\le n}$. The data consists of observations on the random sequence…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-27 Ross A. Maller , Sidney I. Resnick

Existing survival analysis techniques heavily rely on strong modelling assumptions and are, therefore, prone to model misspecification errors. In this paper, we develop an inferential method based on ideas from conformal prediction, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Emmanuel J. Candès , Lihua Lei , Zhimei Ren

Accurate time-to-event prediction is integral to decision-making, informing medical guidelines, hiring decisions, and resource allocation. Survival analysis, the quantitative framework used to model time-to-event data, accounts for patients…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Vincent Jeanselme , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Medical investigations focusing on patient survival often generate not only a failure time for each patient but also a sequence of measurements on patient health at annual or semi-annual check-ups while the patient remains alive. Such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-18 Peter McCullagh , Walter Dempsey

Various assumptions on a right-censoring mechanism to ensure consistency of the Kaplan--Meier and Aalen--Johansen estimators in a competing risks setting are studied. Specifically, eight different assumptions are seen to fall in two…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-11 Morten Overgaard , Stefan Nygaard Hansen

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

In the presence of right-censored data with covariates, the conditional Kaplan-Meier estimator (also known as the Beran estimator) consistently estimates the conditional survival function of the random follow-up for the event of interest.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-15 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Olivier Goudet
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