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相关论文: Inference for Multiple Change-points in Linear and…

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We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Gyorgy H. Terdik , Stergios B. Fotopoulos , Venkata K. Jandhyala

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The ability to detect change-points in a dynamic network or a time series of graphs is an increasingly important task in many applications of the emerging discipline of graph signal processing. This paper formulates change-point detection…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-07-19 Heng Wang , Minh Tang , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

Change-points in time series data are usually defined as the time instants at which changes in their properties occur. Detecting change-points is critical in a number of applications as diverse as detecting credit card and insurance frauds,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-10 André Ferrari , Cédric Richard , Anthony Bourrier , Ikram Bouchikhi

In this paper, we propose a new generic method for detecting the number and locations of structural breaks or change points in piecewise linear models under stationary Gaussian noise. Our method transforms the change point detection problem…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Zhibing He , Dan Cheng , Yunpeng Zhao

In this paper, we consider the detection of a small change in the frequency of sinusoidal signals, which arises in various signal processing applications. The generalized likelihood ratio test (GLRT) for this problem uses the maximum…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-24 Eyal Levy , Tirza Routtenberg

This paper develops change-point methods for the spectrum of a locally stationary time series. We focus on series with a bounded spectral density that change smoothly under the null hypothesis but exhibits change-points or becomes less…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Change-point detection and estimation procedures have been widely developed in the literature. However, commonly used approaches in change-point analysis have mainly been focusing on detecting change-points within an entire time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Chak Fung Choi , Chunxue Li , Chun Yip Yau , Zifeng Zhao

Change point detection in time series has attracted substantial interest, but most of the existing results have been focused on detecting change points in the time domain. This paper considers the situation where nonlinear time series have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Yan Cui , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou

We propose HSMUCE (heterogeneous simultaneous multiscale change-point estimator) for the detection of multiple change-points of the signal in a heterogeneous gaussian regression model. A piecewise constant function is estimated by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-08 Florian Pein , Hannes Sieling , Axel Munk

We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-11 Silvan Melchior , Sebastian Curi , Felix Berkenkamp , Andreas Krause

Motivated by an example from remote sensing of gas emission sources, we derive two novel change point procedures for multivariate time series where, in contrast to classical change point literature, the changes are not required to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-07 Idris Eckley , Claudia Kirch , Silke Weber

Sequential change point detection for multivariate autocorrelated data is a very common problem in practice. However, when the sensing resources are limited, only a subset of variables from the multivariate system can be observed at each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Haijie Xu , Xiaochen Xian , Chen Zhang , Kaibo Liu

Determining the number of change-points is a first-step and fundamental task in change-point detection problems, as it lays the groundwork for subsequent change-point position estimation. While the existing literature offers various methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Ao Sun , Jingyuan Liu

Time series segmentation, a.k.a. multiple change-point detection, is a well-established problem. However, few solutions are designed specifically for high-dimensional situations. In this paper, our interest is in segmenting the second-order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

We consider the detection and localization of change points in the distribution of an offline sequence of observations. Based on a nonparametric framework that uses a similarity graph among observations, we propose new test statistics when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Lizhen Nie , Dan L. Nicolae