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Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

The segmentation of a time series into piecewise stationary segments, a.k.a. multiple change point analysis, is an important problem both in time series analysis and signal processing. In the presence of multiscale change points with both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-17 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

Permutation methods are commonly used to test significance of regressors of interest in general linear models (GLMs) for functional (image) data sets, in particular for neuroimaging applications as they rely on mild assumptions. Permutation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Tomas Mrkvicka , Mari Myllymaki , Mikko Kuronen , Naveen Naidu Narisetty

This paper proposes a class of parametric multiple-index time series models that involve linear combinations of time trends, stationary variables and unit root processes as regressors. The inclusion of the three different types of time…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-04 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yundong Tu

Many astrophysical phenomena are time-varying, in the sense that their intensity, energy spectrum, and/or the spatial distribution of the emission suddenly change. This paper develops a method for modeling a time series of images. Under the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-03-24 Cong Xu , Hans Moritz Günther , Vinay L. Kashyap , Thomas C. M. Lee , Andreas Zezas

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

Traditional methods for inference in change point detection often rely on a large number of observed data points and can be inaccurate in non-asymptotic settings. With the rise of mobile health and digital phenotyping studies, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Ian Barnett

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) provides a flexible approach for non-linear dimensionality reduction that has been widely applied. However, the current approach for training GP-LVMs is based on maximum likelihood, where…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-09-09 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

Multiple change point (MCP) detection in non-stationary time series is challenging due to the variety of underlying patterns. To address these challenges, we propose a novel algorithm that integrates Active Learning (AL) with Deep Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

We present the group fused Lasso for detection of multiple change-points shared by a set of co-occurring one-dimensional signals. Change-points are detected by approximating the original signals with a constraint on the multidimensional…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-06-23 Kevin Bleakley , Jean-Philippe Vert

Gaussian processes (GPs) have been proven to be powerful tools in various areas of machine learning. However, there are very few applications of GPs in the scenario of multi-view learning. In this paper, we present a new GP model for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-01-18 Qiuyang Liu , Shiliang Sun

We assume a nonparametric regression model where the signal is given by the sum of a piecewise constant function and a smooth function. To detect the change-points and estimate the regression functions, we propose PCpluS, a combination of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Florian Pein , Rajen D. Shah

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

Detecting multiple change points in functional data sequences has been increasingly popular and critical in various scientific fields. In this article, we propose a novel two-stage framework for detecting multiple change points in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Zhiqing Fang , Xin Liu

In this paper we propose new methodology for the data segmentation, also known as multiple change point problem, in a general framework including classic mean change scenarios, changes in linear regression but also changes in the time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-17 Claudia Kirch , Kerstin Reckruehm

The increasing volume of data streams poses significant computational challenges for detecting changepoints online. Likelihood-based methods are effective, but a naive sequential implementation becomes impractical online due to high…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Liudmila Pishchagina , Gaetano Romano , Paul Fearnhead , Vincent Runge , Guillem Rigaill