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A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

This paper describes and compares several prominent single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data. Due to their importance in inferential matters, changepoint research on correlated data has accelerated recently.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-07 Xueheng Shi , Colin Gallagher , Robert Lund , Rebecca Killick

The goal of the change-point detection is to discover changes of time series distribution. One of the state of the art approaches of the change-point detection are based on direct density ratio estimation. In this work we show how existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Mikhail Hushchyn , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

In this paper, we study statistical inference of change-points (CPs) in multi-dimensional sequence. In CP detection from a multi-dimensional sequence, it is often desirable not only to detect the location, but also to identify the subset of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Ryota Sugiyama , Hiroki Toda , Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Yu Inatsu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

We propose Narrowest Significance Pursuit (NSP), a general and flexible methodology for automatically detecting localised regions in data sequences which each must contain a change-point (understood as an abrupt change in the parameters of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-05 Piotr Fryzlewicz

We developed a statistical inference method applicable to a broad range of generalized linear models (GLMs) in high-dimensional settings, where the number of unknown coefficients scales proportionally with the sample size. Although a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-24 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high-dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Lorenzo Trapani

We propose a method to infer the presence and location of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in a general metric space, where change-points are viewed as locations at which the distribution of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-15 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

We consider the change-point detection in multivariate continuous and integer valued time series. We propose a Wald-type statistic based on the estimator performed by a general contrast function; which can be constructed from the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points -- locations where the distribution abruptly changes -- in a data sequence. A new approach, based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing the similarity between observations,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-18 Hao Chen , Nancy Zhang

The extensive emergence of big data techniques has led to an increasing interest in the development of change-point detection algorithms that can perform well in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional setting. In the current paper, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Andreas Anastasiou , Angelos Papanastasiou

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

We introduce a new method for high-dimensional, online changepoint detection in settings where a $p$-variate Gaussian data stream may undergo a change in mean. The procedure works by performing likelihood ratio tests against simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Yudong Chen , Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

We propose new methods for detecting multiple change points in time series, specifically designed for random walk processes, where stationarity and variance changes present challenges. Our approach combines two trend estimation methods: the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Xiyuan Liu

In this paper, we present a change point detection method for detecting change points in multivariate nonstationary wind speed time series. The change point method identifies changes in the covariance structure and decomposes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar , Raanju R. Sundararajan

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla