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We propose a theoretical study of two realistic estimators of conditional distribution functions and conditional quantiles using random forests. The estimation process uses the bootstrap samples generated from the original dataset when…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-30 Kevin Elie-Dit-Cosaque , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

This paper is an attempt to set a justification for making use of some dicrepancy indexes, starting from the classical Maximum Likelihood definition, and adapting the corresponding basic principle of inference to situations where…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-24 Michel Broniatowski

We consider the problem of inference after model selection under weak assumptions in the time series setting. Even when the data are not independent, we show that sample splitting remains asymptotically valid as long as the process…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-27 Robert Lunde

We study accuracy of bootstrap procedures for estimation of quantiles of a smooth function of a sum of independent sub-Gaussian random vectors. We establish higher-order approximation bounds with error terms depending on a sample size and a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-21 Mayya Zhilova

Recent years have witnessed much progress on Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of sums of independent random vectors with dimension $d$ large relative to the sample size $n$. However, for any number of moments $m>2$…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-27 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

This paper is based on our personal notes for the short course we gave on January 5, 2017 at Institut Henri Poincar\'e, after an invitation of the SFdS. Our purpose is to give an overview of the method of $\rho$-estimation and of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-04 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

We formalize notions of robustness for composite estimators via the notion of a breakdown point. A composite estimator successively applies two (or more) estimators: on data decomposed into disjoint parts, it applies the first estimator on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-06 Pingfan Tang , Jeff M. Phillips

Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is a form of link-tracing sampling, a sampling technique used for `hard-to-reach' populations that aims to leverage individuals' social relationships to reach potential participants. While the methodological…

Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-02 Anqi Liu , Brian D. Ziebart

This paper highlights a tension between semiparametric efficiency and bootstrap consistency in the context of a canonical semiparametric estimation problem, namely the problem of estimating the average density. It is shown that although…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-22 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson

This paper is mainly concerned with asymptotic studies of weighted bootstrap for u- and v-statistics. We derive the consistency of the weighted bootstrap u- and v-statistics, based on i.i.d. and non i.i.d. observations, from some more…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-23 Miklos Csorgo , Masoud M. Nasari

Randomized smoothing is a popular certified defense against adversarial attacks. In its essence, we need to solve a problem of statistical estimation which is usually very time-consuming since we need to perform numerous (usually $10^5$)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Vaclav Voracek

Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) has been increasingly used in recent years due to its purported construction of a middle path between case-oriented and variable-oriented methods. Despite its popularity, a key element of the method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-17 C. Ben Gibson , Burrel Vann

Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

We present batching as an omnibus device for uncertainty quantification using simulation output. We consider the classical context of a simulationist performing uncertainty quantification on an estimator $\theta_n$ (of an unknown fixed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Yongseok Jeon , Yi Chu , Raghu Pasupathy , Sara Shashaani

We present an estimator of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of random $d$-dimensional vector from an i.i.d. sample of size $n$. Our sole assumption is that this vector satisfies a bounded $L^p-L^2$ moment assumption over its one-dimensional…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-27 Roberto I. Oliveira , Zoraida F. Rico

A critical literature review and comprehensive simulation study is used to show that (a) non-parametric bootstrap is a viable alternative to commonly taught and used methods in basic estimation tasks (mean, variance, quartiles, correlation)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-16 Urša Zrimšek , Erik Štrumbelj

Bootstrapping and other resampling methods are increasingly appearing in the textbooks and curricula of courses that introduce undergraduate students to statistical methods. In order to teach the bootstrap well, students and instructors…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Njesa Totty , James Molyneux , Claudio Fuentes

While widely used as a general method for uncertainty quantification, the bootstrap method encounters difficulties that raise concerns about its validity in practical applications. This paper introduces a new resampling-based method, termed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-30 Yiran Jiang , Chuanhai Liu , Heping Zhang
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