相关论文: Geometric Ergodicity of the multivariate COGARCH(1…

For discrete-time Markov chains on general state spaces, we establish criteria for non-ergodicity and non-strong ergodicity, and derive sufficient conditions for non-geometric ergodicity via the theory of minimal nonnegative solutions. Our…

Graphical continuous Lyapunov models offer a new perspective on modeling causally interpretable dependence structure in multivariate data by treating each independent observation as a one-time cross-sectional snapshot of a temporal process.…

Consider a stochastic process $\{X(t)\}$ on a finite state space $ {\sf X}=\{1,\dots, d\}$. It is conditionally Markov, given a real-valued `input process' $\{\zeta(t)\}$. This is assumed to be small, which is modeled through the scaling,…

In the first part of the note we analyze the long time behaviour of a two dimensional stochastic Navier--Stokes equations system on a torus with a degenerate, one dimensional noise. In particular, for some initial data and noises we…

We study random dynamical systems of certain continuous functions on the unit interval. We use bounded variation to provide sufficient conditions for unique ergodicity of these systems. Several classes of examples are provided.

This work is devoted to the study of modeling geophysical and financial time series. A class of volatility models with time-varying parameters is presented to forecast the volatility of time series in a stationary environment. The modeling…

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

We consider a class of jump-diffusion processes, constrained to a polyhedral cone $G\subset\R^n$, where the constraint vector field is constant on each face of the boundary. The constraining mechanism corrects for ``attempts'' of the…

We revisit the dynamics of the one-dimensional self-gravitating sheets models. We show that homogeneous and non-homogeneous states have different ergodic properties. The former is non-ergodic and the one-particle distribution function has a…

We prove the well-posedness of some non-linear stochastic differential equations in the sense of McKean-Vlasov driven by non-degenerate symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy processes with values in $R^d$ under some mild H{\"o}lder regularity…

We propose a continuous-time Markov-switching generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (COMS-GARCH) process for handling irregularly spaced time series (TS) with multiple volatilities states. We employ a Gibbs sampler in…

We study ergodic properties of nonlinear Markov chains and stochastic McKean-Vlasov equations. For nonlinear Markov chains we obtain sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and uniform ergodicity. We also…

In this paper we discuss how the notion of subgeometric ergodicity in Markov chain theory can be exploited to study stationarity and ergodicity of nonlinear time series models. Subgeometric ergodicity means that the transition probability…

In this short note, we investigate non-invertible stochastic dynamical systems on the unit interval $[0, 1]$. We provide a handy condition for unique ergodicity for systems that are injective in mean. On the other hand, we give concrete…

Drifts of asset returns are notoriously difficult to model accurately and, yet, trading strategies obtained from portfolio optimization are very sensitive to them. To mitigate this well-known phenomenon we study robust growth-optimization…

In this paper a concentration inequality is proved for the deviation in the ergodic theorem in the case of discrete time observations of diffusion processes. The proof is based on the geometric ergodicity property for diffusion processes.…

We provide explicit expressions for the constants involved in the characterisation of ergodicity of sub-geometric Markov chains. The constants are determined in terms of those appearing in the assumed drift and one-step minorisation…

We consider a class of discrete time Markov chains with state space [0,1] and the following dynamics. At each time step, first the direction of the next transition is chosen at random with probability depending on the current location. Then…

We study differential equations with a linear, path dependent drift and discrete delay in the diffusion term driven by a $\gamma$-H\"older rough path for $\gamma > \frac{1}{3}$. We prove well-posedness of these systems and establish a…

Based on a compactness criterion for random fields in Wiener-Sobolev spaces, in this paper, we prove the unique strong solvability of time-inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with drift coefficients in critical Lebesgue spaces,…